Zeev's Turnips Talk Politics (ZTTP)

[otraque]

To close to call for sure because Ohio is now but 1% lead Kerry and Pennsylvania but 2% lead for Kerry, the margin of error at minimum plus/minus 3.
I will standby my view that IF Kerry wins 3 of the 4 of Michigan,Ohio,Florida and Pennsylvania he wins,
In Michigan he is now ahead 10% and in Florida behind 5%.
It remains , bite your nails time.
Also the popular vote is up for grabs, imo.
I see the key as what % of moderate republicans can feel the alarm that Soros is sounding out in his warning, to break with their party loyalty regards their presidential vote( he notes his ad is directed in hope of getting moderate republicans to vote Kerry)
The number one enemy for Kerry are those republicans that will vote Bush simply on the notion it is not good to change horses while a war is going on, and if they do vote on that as decision point and Bush wins on the width of a hair's thread resultantly i am prepared to watch Bush lead the U.S. and the world into hell.

To major dramas will occur Tuesday night/Wednesday morning; do we have an uncontested winner(and who is it) or are we going to go through vote recounting again.
When analyzing data like at http://www.electoral-vote.com/ who i want to win i refuse to consider.
As the person running the site(a democrat) does himself, as he simply registers poll after poll after poll.
I feel it, however, remains the best site to consider what is happening be one for or against whomever.
The E-Vote and Provisional vote remain a potential powder keg.