First Stop: $1.50
Posted by: The Yogi
Date: Saturday, September 12, 2009 2:36:59 AM
In reply to: VivaLasVegas who wrote msg# 94372
#94461
I “see” a “Symmetrical Triangle”* instead of a (down sloping pointed) “Pennant”. As I see it, this Classic “Symmetrical Triangle” Chart Pattern had a “Break Out” today, Friday, September, 11, 2009 at approximately $0.1530. And according to Curtis Arnold, this Classic Chart Pattern (in an “Up Trend”) has an 86.4%** probability of moving up in price (with a minimum price target/projection of $0.2619). And as someone correctly noted, there is a “Blue Sky”/(“Open Gap” between approximately $0.1800 and $1.5000) which means that once prices advance beyond this current $0.1800 to $0.2089 Resistance Level”, --- prices should easily advance to $1.50 before encountering any “Overhead Resistance”.
*Ref. (Classic book on Technical Analysis )
• Chapters XI, Consolidation Formations, pp 168+; and Chapters VIII, Symmetrical Triangles, pp 87+
Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee
Published by John Magee, Springfield, Massachusetts, copyright 1966 by John
Magee.
**Ref.
• Chapter 7 --- Fast – Start Entries, The Symmetrical Triangle, Notes From The
Research.
Curtis Arnold’s PPS Trading System
Copyright 1995, Curtis Arnold
Irwin Professional Publishing
Burr ridge, Illinois
New York, New York
ISBN 1-55738-877-6
Posted by: The Yogi
Date: Sunday, September 13, 2009 1:31:11 AM
In reply to: wamued who wrote msg# 94473
#94517
Only time will tell how reliable technical analysis is in this situation. Let’s see what happens...
In my personal opinion, Technical Analysis is just as “reliable” for listed stocks traded over exchanges as well as stock traded with pinks in general. There are basically two ways to analyze stocks: “Fundamental Analysis ” and “Technical Analysis”. And the wise investor/trader uses both “Fundamental Analysis” and “Technical Analysis”. I have found the “Fundamental Analysis” done by the brilliant minds/posters on this board to be superb and “unsurpassed”.
In my opinion, Technical Analysis is base on the four (4) following ideas:
1. Newton’s Laws of inertia. A body (prices) “at rest” tends to “stay at rest”; and a body "in motion" tends to “stay in motion”.
2. Supply and Demand. If buying ("pressure"/force) is greater than the selling ("pressure"/force), then prices go up; If selling ("pressure"/force) is greater than the buying, then prices go down; and if the buying and selling ("pressure"/force) is about equal (in balance), then prices go “sideways”.
3. “Zero-Sum Game” is a "game" where what is “won” by one group is “loss” by another group and where “the smart” take advantage of the “not so smart”. (See DVD: ENRON – The Smartest Guys In The Room, for an extreme example).
4. Human Nature. Successful Trading/Investing “goes against” human nature. For example. Warren Buffett says: “Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy”. We (WAMUQ, etc) Investors are greedily buying all the stock we can get our hands on while most investors wouldn’t “touch (WAMUQ, etc.) with a ten foot pole”.
Prices are “manipulated” and If you have time, I suggest you read The Classic Book:
REMINISCENDES OF A STOCK OPERATOR by Edwin Lefevre.
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
New York; Chichestser; Brisbane; Toronto; Singapore
Originally published in 1923 by George H. Doran and Company
ISBN 0-471-05968-4 (cloth)
ISBN 0-471-05970-6 (paper)
REMINISCENDES OF A STOCK OPERATOR was written in the 1920s by Jessie Livermore*. However, as the French saying goes: “The more things change, the more they stay the same”. “The game” is basically the same in that prices were “manipulated” back then and they are “manipulated” today. The major difference between then and now is The S.E.C. There was no S.E.C. back then, but now we have The S.E.C. which is basically the “C.O.P. on the block” to give investors/traders confidence in “the game”. If you read REMINISCENDES OF A STOCK OPERATOR by Edwin Lefevre, you will get a better insight into the nature of “the game” we are playing.
*Jesse Livermore had no formal education or stock trading experience. He was a self-made man who learned from his winners as well as his losers. It was these successes and failures that helped cement trading ideas that can still be found throughout the market today. Livermore began trading for himself in his early teens, and by the age of fifteen, he had reportedly produced gains of over $1,000, which was big money in those days. Over the next several years, he made money betting against the so-called "bucket shops," which didn't handle legitimate trades – customers bet against the house on stock price movements.
Posted by: The Yogi
Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2009 9:34:39 PM
In reply to: VivaLasVegas who wrote msg# 95090
Post# 95156
Things are “unfolding/happening nicely”. In response to Igolcents post # 95107; wamued post #94473; ub2 post # 94516, VivaLasVegas posts #94372 and 95074; 7nech post #95078; drrugby your posts #95066 and 95049; and Clay this post #95090 --- see my previous post# 94517: “Only time will tell how reliable technical analysis is in this situation. Let’s see what happens...”
Drrugby, “the stairway to heaven” you observed is called a small (Right Angle) “Ascending Triangle”. It is part of a larger “Symmetrical Triangle” Chart Pattern that I previously discussed in my post #94461 on Sat., Sept. 12, 2009. In my post #94461 in reply to: VivaLasVegas who wrote msg# 94372, I said:
I “see” a “Symmetrical Triangle”* instead of a (down sloping pointed) “Pennant”. As I see it, this Classic “Symmetrical Triangle” Chart Pattern had a “Break Out” today, Friday, September, 11, 2009 at approximately $0.1530. And according to Curtis Arnold, this Classic Chart Pattern (in an “Up Trend”) has an 86.4%** probability of moving up in price (with a minimum price target/projection of $0.2619). And as someone correctly noted, there is a “Blue Sky”/(“Open Gap” between approximately $0.1800 and $1.5000) which means that once prices advance beyond this current $0.1800 to $0.2089 Resistance Level”, --- prices should easily advance to $1.50 before encountering any “Overhead Resistance”.
See you all in LasVegas!
The Yogi
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