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Re: p3analyze post# 78661

Friday, 05/29/2009 9:01:25 PM

Friday, May 29, 2009 9:01:25 PM

Post# of 257266

I'd say 5 billion dollars on Tysabri alone.

Tysabri’s annualized worldwide sales are roughly $900M (#msg-37091385). Although robust growth could conceivably resume, it’s also possible that Tysabri sales have reached a permanent plateau. Based on the $900M figure, a valuation of 5x sales would make ELN’s 50% stake worth about $2.25B.

If ELN owned Tysabri outright, a somewhat higher valuation, say 6x sales, would be warranted because the costs of maintaining a JV infrastructure could be eliminated. This would put the valuation in the ballpark of your $5B figure.


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