*After adjusting for $34M received from GSK during 1Q09.
Average cash burn during the past five quarters was $16.3M. If we make the simplifying assumption that the cash burn going forward will be the same as the cash burn during the past five quarters (which is consistent with IDIX’s own guidance), then the $64.5M cash balance at the end of 1Q09 represents nearly four quarters of cash burn.
It follows that IDIX is in no immediate need to raise cash, but an offering in the second half of 2009 seems likely if there has been no new partnership deal (e.g. NVS licensing of IDX184) by then.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”