Trade Journal for Dummies(LOL)!
Using DOWN action to Sell Apr34 puts with REckless abandon!
Wow, we were, well, Wayyyyy Offfffffffffff, LOL, we expected a GAP up and then a Crash-n-Burn, instead da-Boyz GAP-R Down and initiate a "Compulsive, Cascading, Waterfall, Discount-Wave and we think we're gonna LIKE IT!?
We expect the GAP down to NOT be filled, then a test of the Break-Out, 31.68 with a Bounce, then we violate 31.68 on the down-side and make a RUN for the Island Beach at 31.23 and see if we can Catch-a-Wave of Meaning, or NOT, LOL!
Revised 4cast-r says............................, The End is Near!?
Date Open High Low Close
3-Apr 32.11 32.40 31.83 32.35
4cast
6-Apr 31.76 32.26 30.93 31.21
Boyz, you are Awesome at dis-GAME and we kinda LIKE IT, NICE!!
Posted Friday with the "Update" post:
And what a week and Four weeks it has been, up 5.0% for the week and up 26.4% since the YTD low posted on 09Mar. I know it’s pretty much impossible to accept it but we’re going higher folks, MUCH higher!
Here’s the implications for da-Bears, we got down to a -14.2% for the Year with the 25.63 posting, that’s down -14.2% from the YTD Pivot, 29.86, hence, we should expect at least a +14.2% up move.
We can do what Other TA, Chart, Fibs or Lies play-ar’s can Not do, we have a static YEAR-lee Pivot, 29.86, that we can use to extrapolate future price, howz dat for “Inside Information”, who are we and why are we here, to DUP da-Boyz, what Else, LOL!
Using our proprietary system we can prognosticate, with authority, and we LIKE IT! We simply take 29.86 x 1.142 and we get our expected upmove completion number, 34.10, how freakin sweet is dat!? Btw… dat’s a 33% up move off the 25.63 low and well within the confines of Bear-Market rallies and maybe even selling ourselves short, pun intended, if this is sumptin bigger like a New Bull Market launching, huhh, Get a Grip on yourself, NOT!!?
But wait, dare’s MORE, LOL, if our extrapolations are of a meaningful nature, well, then we can also expect the 29.86 to HOLD on any pull-back!? Obvious-lee a move back down to 29.86 will be a -7.5% move, but more importantly is that a move from 29.86 up to 34.10 will be a 14.2% up move and we gonna be dare to extract coins from da-Boyz as they Rape-n-Pillage more 401k, Investment, and Ole Ladies/Widow-r’s Pension funds, Sweeeeeeeet!
Let’s recap because dis is Big Stuff here Campers, we have in our possession, the actual Targets for BOTH a pull-back AND continuation up, dis is BIG Stuff and we MUST recognize the significance of their prognosticating powers!
That said, do NOT get all Gidy and stop sleeping at night as you consider what you’re gonna do with all the Coins your gonna extract knowing dis-stuff, oh boy, sighhhh! Instead, devise a plan of meaning and “stick to it”!!
In other words, a disciplined, taking on CASH and Profits, approach will take you dare, well, if you dare go where MANY play-ar’s have gone before you and gotten dare Coins taken away dat is, LOLOLOLOL!
TODAY's COMPLETED and/or PENDING TRADES:
New trades today:
StO, 40 Apr34 puts at 2.26!
Pending trades(GtC, Good till Cancelled):
None
TRADE HISTORY:
OPEN POSITIONS(Long/Short ratio = 1.11 to 1 Net Short bias)
LONG(controlling 18k shares):
40, StO, APr34 puts at 2.26 (40), holding
38. BtO, Apr32 calls at 0.98 (80), last 1.14, 1.28 gain
34, BtO, Apr35 calls at 0.12 (100), last 0.13, 0.10 gain
SHORT(controlling 20k shares):
29. BtO, Apr33 puts at 2.63 (40), last 1.24, -5.56 loss
26, StO, Apr27 calls at 3.08 (40), last 5.23, -8.60 loss
23, StO, Apr30 calls at 1.02 (40), last 2.56, -6.16 loss
02, BtO, Apr28 puts at 1.87 (40), last 0.09, -7.12 loss
01, BtO, Apr28 puts at 2.91 (40), last 0.09, -11.28 loss
Pending Gain/(Loss)$, (37.34) or -37,340
Commissions$, (1280)
Total cost$, -38,620
CLOSED TRADES:(we've closed 32 trades thru 01Apr)
03Apr(3)
33, StO, Apr35 puts at 3.08 (40), bought for 2.93, .15 gain, posts as .60
37, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.48 (40), sold for 1.68, .20 gain, posts as .80
36, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.59 (80), sold for 1.69, .10 gain, posts as .80
02Apr(5)
35, StO, Apr31 calls at 1.65 (80), sold fro 1.73, .08 gain, posts as .64
32, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.50 (80), sold for 0.65, .15 gain, posts as .60
11, BtO, Apr34 calls at 0.16 (80), sold for .31, .15 gain, posts as 1.20
18, BtO, Apr32 calls at 0.72 (40), sold for 0.82, .10 gain, posts as .40
19, BtO, Apr29 calls at 2.48 (40), sold for 2.68, .20 gain, posts as .80
01Apr(4)
31, StO, Apr32 puts at 1.90 (40), bought for 1.70, .20 gain, posts as 0.80
30, StO, Apr32 puts at 1.85 (40), bought for 1.70, .15 gain, posts as .60
28, StO, Apr31 puts at 1.20 (40), bought for 1.15, 0.04 gain, posts as .20
27, BtO, Apr32 puts at 1.98 (40), sold for 2.43, 0.45 gain, pots as 1.80
31Mar(0)
None
30Mar(4)
25, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.36 (40), bought for 2.26, .10 gain, posts as .40
24, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.37 (40), bought for 2.27, .10 gain, posts as .40
22, StO, Apr27 calls at 3.21 (40), bought for 3.01, .20 gain, posts as .80
21, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.70 (40), bought for 2.40, .30 gain, posts as 1.20
27Mar(2)
16, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.20 (40), bought for 3.10, .10 gain, post as .40
20, StO, Apr30 calls at 1.80 (40), bought for 1.60, .20 gain, post as .80
26Mar(2)
17, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.90 (40), sold for 2.05, .15 gain, posts as .60
15, BtO, Apr26 calls at 4.86 (40), sold for 5.11, 0.25 gain, posts as 1.00
25Mar(5)
05, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.61 (40), bought for 2.31, .30 gain, post as 1.20
10, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.06 (40), bought for 2.61, .45 gain, posts as 1.80
09, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.05 (40), sold for 1.15, .10 gain, post as .40
13, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.02 (40), bought for 1.72, 0.30 gain, post as 1.20
14, StO, Apr30 puts at 1.07 (40), bought for 0.87, 0.20 gain, post as 0.80
24Mar(2)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (40), sold for 0.38, 0.16 gain, post as .64
12, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.03 (40), bought for 1.83, .20 gain, post as .80
23Mar(5)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (80), sold for 0.42, .20 gain, post as .80
07, StO, Apr33 puts at 2.95 (40), bought for 2.75, .20 gain, post as 0.80
08, BtO, Apr29 calls at 1.91 (40), sold for 2.16, .25 gain, post as 1.00
04, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.25 (80), sold for 1.44, .19 gain, post as 1.52
03, StO, Apr31 puts at 1.95 (40), bought for 1.75, .20 gain, post as .80
Beg Port Balance , $30,000 (inception date 23Feb09)
FebOE gain/(loss), $ 2,100
MarOE gain/(loss), $10,780
AprOE gain/(loss), $ ??,???
Posted gains against 1000 shares, $26.60/1000 shares or $26,600 less commissions (Port starting funds = $42,880, 62.0% posted gains for this OE period).
Daily Gains$:
23Mar- 4.92, 30Mar- 2.80, 06Apr- ?.??
24Mar- 1.44, 31Mar- 0.00
25Mar- 5.40, 01Apr- 3.40
26Mar- 1.60, 02Apr- 3.64
27Mar- 1.20, 03Apr- 2.20
Wkly Gain/(Loss)$:
Wk1- $14.56, Wk2- $12.04, Wk3- $?.??, Wk4- $?.??
4cast(like TA, Charts, Fibs & Lies), is ONLY for entertainment purposes
We expected prices to be up 12.5% for the week ending 03Apr and clean da-Shorts clock, instead the Q’s ended up 5.0%, still cleaned some Shorts Clocks I suspect!
Date Open High Low Close
3-Apr 32.11 32.40 31.83 32.35
4cast
6-Apr 32.75 32.85 31.58 31.80
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