SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

[Neutral Man]

Trade Journal for Dummies(Update)!

Holy Mother of MARY, we 4cast a 12.5% Up week this week and some Clock Cleaning, well, it appears we’ll end up 18% instead and the SHORTS will be “ERASED” from the GAME BOARD, OUCH!!

Our condolences if you used TA, Charts, Fibs and/or Lies recently in an attempt to play a TOP, and if you’re short going in to tomorrow, well, we’ll pray for you for sure!!

Let’s all prepare for what could be the Greatest Shorting Opportunity in 80 years, especially if da-Shorts Capitulate tomorrow and get us up to our 4cast 34.72, Woohoo!?

TODAY's COMPLETED and/or PENDING TRADES:

New trades today:
None

Pending trades(GtC, Good till Cancelled):
None

TRADE HISTORY:

OPEN POSITIONS(Long/Short ratio = 1.5 to 1 Net Long bias)

LONG(controlling 8k shares):
11, BtO, Apr34 calls at 0.16 (80), last 0.27, 0.72 gain

SHORT(controlling 12k shares):
16, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.20 (40), last 3.70, -2.00 loss
02, BtO, Mar28 puts at 1.87 (40), Taken to Zero, -7.48 loss
01, BtO, Mar28 puts at 2.91 (40), Taken to Zero, -11.64 loss


Pending Gain/(Loss)$, (20.76) or -20,760
Commissions$, (560)
Total cost$, -21,320

CLOSED TRADES:(we've closed 14 trades thru 25Mar)
26Mar(2)
17, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.90 (40), sold for 2.05, .15 gain, posts as .60
15, BtO, Apr26 calls at 4.86 (40), sold for 5.11, 0.25 gain, posts as 1.00
25Mar(5)
05, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.61 (40), bought for 2.31, .30 gain, post as 1.20
10, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.06 (40), bought for 2.61, .45 gain, posts as 1.80
09, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.05 (40), sold for 1.15, .10 gain, post as .40
13, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.02 (40), bought for 1.72, 0.30 gain, post as 1.20
14, StO, Apr30 puts at 1.07 (40), bought for 0.87, 0.20 gain, post as 0.80
24Mar(2)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (40), sold for 0.38, 0.16 gain, post as .64
12, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.03 (40), bought for 1.83, .20 gain, post as .80
23Mar(5)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (80), sold for 0.42, .20 gain, post as .80
07, StO, Apr33 puts at 2.95 (40), bought for 2.75, .20 gain, post as 0.80
08, BtO, Apr29 calls at 1.91 (40), sold for 2.16, .25 gain, post as 1.00
04, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.25 (80), sold for 1.44, .19 gain, post as 1.52
03, StO, Apr31 puts at 1.95 (40), bought for 1.75, .20 gain, post as .80

Beg Port Balance , $30,000
FebOE gain/(loss), $ 2,100
MarOE gain/(loss), $10,780 (pending $-12,400 loss on Apr28 puts carried over)

Posted gains against 1000 shares, $13.36/1000 shares or $13,360 less commissions (Port starting funds = $42,880, 31.2% posted gains for this OE period).

Daily Gains$:

23Mar- 4.92
24Mar- 1.44
25Mar- 5.40
26Mar- 1.60
27Mar- ?.??

Wkly Gain/(Loss)$:
Wk1- $13.36, Wk2- $?.??, Wk3- $?.??, Wk4- $?.??

4cast(like TA, Charts, Fibs & Lies), is ONLY for entertainment purposes!

We expected prices to be up 12.5% and clean da-Shorts clock, OUCH!?

Date Open High Low Close
20-Mar 29.70 30.03 28.98 29.18
23-Mar 29.86 30.94 29.66 30.90
24-Mar 30.65 30.88 30.31 30.33
25-Mar 30.58 31.05 29.66 30.47
26-Mar 30.88 31.45 30.76 31.41
4cast
27-Mar 32.32 34.72 32.32 34.57 (up 18% for the Week, whatda)



YTD OE Stuff:
Pivot, 29.86, (closed 19Dec08)
High, 31.68, up 6.1% (posted 10Feb)
Low, 25.63, dn -14.2% (posted 09Mar)
Close, 31.41, up 5.2%
Range, 6.05
PM, 20.3%


R8, 41.8, 40%
R7, 40.31, 35%
R6, 38.82, 30%
R5, 37.33, 25%
R4, 35.83, 20%
R3, 34.34, 15%
R2, 32.85, 10%

Closed, 31.41, up 5.2%, Above the OE Pivot and the YTD Pivot, VERY BULLISH!

R1, 31.35, 5% with the YTD High being at 31.68 we expect dis-Puppy to be breached SOON!

YTD Pivot, 29.86, 0.0%, a breach and close above this pivot will cause serious upside action?.
AprOE Pivot, 29.18, close on 20Mar

S1, 28.37, -5%
S2, 26.87, -10%
S3, 25.38, -15%
S4, 23.89, -20%
S5, 22.4, -25%
S6, 20.9, -30%
S7, 19.41, -35%
S8, 17.92, -40%