First, in early March, the “yellow metal” hit its all-time high of $1,030 an ounce -
Just three months later, the price of gold for December delivery had plummeted to $681 an ounce, a 21-month low and 33.9% drop from its record high -
Most gold bugs were equal parts puzzled and broken-hearted -
The world’s stock markets tanked, as did some of its biggest economies. In such an environment, they thought, gold should have risen. After all, gold is widely considered to be a safe-haven investment when everything else is spiraling south.
In the past year, commodities prices skyrocketed – across the board. That was especially true of oil, which hit a record high $147 a barrel. Corn, wheat, and soybeans all hit record highs, as well -
That price escalation tightened household and corporate budgets, and was a primary reason why the U.S. economy posted a gross-domestic product (GDP) decline of 0.3%. With that negative growth, the third quarter was the beginning of what many experts believe will be the nation’s first recession since 2001 -
However, the inflation epidemic has waned significantly, as global demand for raw materials has plummeted -
Price for such staple foods as corn, soybeans and wheat have all come down from their record highs – in near-lockstep fashion -
And not coincidentally, gold has fallen 22% in that same time frame -
However, the pending commodities rebound – a projected slow-and-steady increase in commodity prices that will reverse the breakneck plunge below fair value that commodities have experienced for much of this year -
The expected path of gold prices in the New Year - Reveals another wild card inflationary indicator that may carry gold prices to $1,500 an ounce by the end of 2009 -
How does this relate to gold? It drives up the price! -