Boards
News
Market Data
Markets
Discover
Discover
AI Subscribe Login/Register account icon
S&P 500
6,624.70
(
-1.36%
)
US TECH 100
23,766.40
(
-0.12%
)
Dow Jones
46,225.15
(
-1.63%
)
Brent Oil
110.31
(
3.50%
)
Bitcoin
70,445.94
(
-1.12%
)
News Focus
News Focus
Post# of 257257
Next 10
Public Reply Private Reply New Post
Keep Last Read
Keep Next 10 Report Keyboard Shortcuts
Next 10 Prev Next

DewDiligence

Send PM Follow Ignore
Followers 842
Posts 122795
Boards Moderated 10
Alias Born 09/05/2002

DewDiligence

Member Level

Re: ghmm post# 71085

Wednesday, 01/07/2009 8:51:48 PM

Wednesday, January 07, 2009 8:51:48 PM

Post# of 257257
Re: Pirfenidone survey

I voted for a mixed outcome, but not because I have any insight into the Pirfenidone program. Rather, the mixed answer choice simply has more ways to be right than the other answers do.

As defined in the survey, the mixed outcome can arise if the underlying truth is that the drug has good efficacy, fair efficacy, or even no efficacy at all. Neither of the other answer choices can realistically arise for such a diverse set of underlying truths.


“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

Public Reply Private Reply New Post
Keep Last Read
Keep Last Read Next 10 Report Keyboard Shortcuts
Next 10 Prev Next

Trade Smarter with Thousands

Leverage decades of market experience shared openly.

Join Now