DEUTSCHE BANK CUTS ESTIMATES, TARGET FOR JP MORGAN Deutsche Bank analyst Mike Mayo says that worsening economic trends should put additional pressure on JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s (JPM) loan portfolios (especially cards, home equity, residential, and commercial mortgage) as well as banking industry in general.
Mayo expects commercial bank loan losses to rise from 1.5% to 3% by the end of 2010, on increased percentage of loans with higher losses, greater consumer leverage and sooner problem recognition by banks.
He cuts 2009 EPS estimate by $0.65 to $2.05, and 2010 by $0.35 to $2.20, reflecting higher loss rates and lower revenue. As a result, he cuts $37 target to $34. He rates JPM hold.