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Re: jerrydylan post# 21484

Wednesday, 10/22/2008 6:53:38 PM

Wednesday, October 22, 2008 6:53:38 PM

Post# of 57993
I'm not very sanguine about a real move upwards.

1. lack of capital strengthens BP bargaining position, irrespective of whether there are multiple potential partners.

2. a hell of a lot of wealth has been lost. There's less money sloshing through the system.

3. stocks have corrected quite a bit, and investors, rightly or wrongly are likely to see them as alternatives to cor.

4. I think that people have grown risk-averse.

5. To the extent that 1-3 are true, while the risks are the same (or worse because of lack of sources of capital), the rewards are likely lower.

I think we're going to be stuck inside of Mobile with the Memphis blues for a while.

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