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Re: DewDiligence post# 65103

Tuesday, 10/21/2008 11:38:32 AM

Tuesday, October 21, 2008 11:38:32 AM

Post# of 257253
Tysabri still growing but growth rate is declining. Here are the numbers reported today by BIIB:

3Q08 worldwide Tysabri sales were $236M, +18% QoQ, +154% YoY.

The number of worldwide commercial patients on Tysabri at 30-Sep-2008 was 34,800, +12% QoQ, +118% YoY.

If the growth rate seen from 2Q08 to 3Q08 is maintained, it will take ten quarters — i.e. until the first quarter of 2011 — for Tysabri sales to reach the 100,000-patient goal set forth by BIIB and ELN.

Some analysts do not think the 100,000-patient target will ever be met: #msg-31249570.




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