LG Sage advice tucked away from your past posts. "By trading off suspected significant lows rather than taking positions with a longer-term mind set, you protect yourself initially against being wrong. Before you commit long-term capital, let the trend begin. Long-term captial and retirement monies should be used to capture the meat of longer-term moves. They should not be used in the high risk business of capturing exact pivots.
Frankly, no individual investor knows for sure. Be leery of anyone that says they do."