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Re: CoalTrain post# 690

Wednesday, 06/02/2004 10:48:56 AM

Wednesday, June 02, 2004 10:48:56 AM

Post# of 9338
After the election, if possible. At first I entertained the notion that the Chinese military buildup was rhetoric, but it is too massive. The fact that the Chinese are factoring in the very real possibility that an attack on Taiwan will very probably bring war with the United States would account for their aggressive arms accumulation. A senior Pentagon official acknowledged China's near-term focus is Taiwan, what is their long-term focus? In addressing the Taiwan issue the Chinese have acknowledged that they must attack Okinawa and are believed to be capable of hitting U.S. military bases in Okinawa. Then we get to see the long-term focus.

Under Bush the United States has lost its dominance. Time is on the side of the up and coming new leader, China, therefore they will wait until after the election. I would think that as much as they hate Bush, given the regression we have suffered under his hands which has enabled them to gain even more ground, they would want to see him reelected.

Following is an excerpt. One thing, I have been posting a lot about the ‘strategic net of encirclement against China’ at what point are they going to say enough?

The article has a basic tentative idea about the development trend of US-China relationship in 2015: First, US-China confrontation (entry into a war state); second, formation of a Cold War structure; third, formation of an alliance relationship. Of the three points, the possibility for the "formation of a Cold War structure" is the greatest, the possibility for the "formation of alliance" is the smallest. Like previous US-Soviet ties, the United States and China which possess powerful military strengths in the Asia-Pacific region will, while retaining their mutually restrictive global strategic relationship, continue to maintain their mutually confronting military strength and their interdependence relationship of the economic market.

The article points out that the United States has been prepared to gradually establish a "strategic net of encirclement against China" in the name of "eliminating terrorism". The author holds that under whatever circumstance, Japan must uphold Japan-US military alliance, and Japanese nationals must cherish the following sense of crisis-once Japan-US relationship of alliance deteriorates, the State of Japan will face a critical crisis


-Am
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