Adult Political Discussion

[DewDiligence]

The following comes from one of today’s
reply threads on FiveThirtyEight.com:

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The Ras tracking poll out today has the answer as to where McCain's new support is coming from:

“McCain leads by seven points among men while Obama leads by six among women. On Tuesday, when Obama's lead peaked, he had a fourteen point advantage among women.”

White working-class women are moving to McCain-Palin en masse. This strongly suggests that the move in the polls is due almost entirely to Palin's selection and speech performance. If that is true, the move in the polls is not a bounce—it is a structural change in the fundamentals of the election.
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