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Re: Zeev Hed post# 234874

Thursday, 04/22/2004 8:13:00 PM

Thursday, April 22, 2004 8:13:00 PM

Post# of 704019
Lazy bum? Sir, you wound me!

I'm not complaining about the Turnips, but I do think that it is going too far to claim, as someone did, that they called the precise date of the low.

In that April 1st post that you quoted, you wrote about a "short furious retrench" lasting no more than a week, and culminating on April 22nd plus or minus. I think we agree on that. But on April 13th you referred to a high no later than the next day, followed by a "sharp two day decline" (see #msg-2835808), which sounded to me like you were saying that the bottom could be no later than three days later, on the 16th, instead of on April 22nd as you previously wrote. That is why, on the same day, I asked if the April 22nd date was still on (#msg-2836391).

You didn't answer, but later the same day, you wrote "...if the time window is right, than after a sharp down opening tomorrow and closing of the gap from 4/1 (around 2015) we should start and put the second leg of this spring rally in place," which I took to be my answer (#msg-2839497). This reinforced my impression that you were saying that the bottom could occur as early as the 14th to 16th.

On April 15th this impression was further reinforced when you wrote about an "updated map" calling for "...maximum exposure on a daily breach of 2000 or within a window of three days from 4/14..." #msg-2861071

If I misunderstood I apologize - I am just trying to keep the record straight. If April 20th does indeed turn out to be the low, then I would consider calling the low within a week to be a remarkable achievement.
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