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Re: KastelCo post# 8712

Sunday, 04/04/2004 9:23:23 AM

Sunday, April 04, 2004 9:23:23 AM

Post# of 19037
K ... about the price of crude-- I've got both the daily and the weekly charts giving me negative signals ... I certainly wouldn't be buying the dip here.

WTIC -- Daily



WTIC -- Weekly



The PoG on the other hand looks bad from the daily chart but it's still bullish from a weekly, although the risk of losing is getting quite high.

Gold -- Daily



Gold -- Weekly



...and I agree with the massive speculation in the oil markets-- the Americans and their SPR (and hording from China) has given the nice folks out there in traderland the impression of an easy trade ( see #msg-2689340 )

...but methinks the bull market will reassert itself (as it always does) in the near future.

Here's some EIA oil statistics for world demand/supply.
 
Forecasted for 2004:

demand -- 80.5 million barrels per day
supply -- 80.8 million barrels per day

Forecasted for 2005:

demand -- 82.2 million barrels per day
supply -- 81.9 million barrels per day








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