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Re: TFA post# 4949

Wednesday, 10/24/2007 7:38:01 PM

Wednesday, October 24, 2007 7:38:01 PM

Post# of 12660
The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”


The efficient market theorists - even the most famous - essentially have as their evidence:

1) The distribution is gaussian

and/or

2) *I* don't know how to predict it so it must be unpredictable

Therefore it is unpredictable.

The conclusion does not follow from the observables.

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