>while IMO the string of DORB PRs makes it a bit more likely that DORB is going to do something annoying like a pre-FDA decision secondary, IT BY NO MEANS MAKES THIS A > 50% PROBABILITY in my mind. That's where Dew and I apparently differ on this.<
I agree that the probability of a pre-PDUFA financing is less than 50%, but it might be as high as 25% based on the recent PR blitz. 25% is a high probability when we are talking about a time window of only 2-3 weeks.
p.s. I’m replying to you here because some of my posts on the DORB board have been deleted.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”