HCV: Most Likely to Succeed (IMHO)
HCV programs in descending order of likelihood of success:
1. Telaprevir (VRTX/JNJ in phase-2).
2. The various enhanced interferons: Albuferon (NVS/HGSI in phase-3), Locteron (OctoPlus/Biolex in preclinical), and Maxy-Alpha (Roche/MAXY in preclinical).
3. The protease inhibitors from Roche/ITMN and SGP.
4. Various early-stage compounds from GILD (alone), GILD/ACHN, Roche/VRUS, Medivir/Tibotec, and IDIX.
JMHO, FWIW
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”