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Re: chebese post# 4367

Friday, 06/22/2007 12:15:26 PM

Friday, June 22, 2007 12:15:26 PM

Post# of 12660
>I believe the bias of the type poster DewDiligence points out exists and I believe the bias of the type poster iwfal points to also exists.<

Iwfal and I were referring to the same bias.

>I think most people investing in DNDN believe they exist to varying degrees.<

I respectfully disagree. I would bet that fewer than 10% of DNDN longs have ever even considered program-survival bias.

As evidence of this I cite the myriad posts on iVillage which proclaimed that 9902b is a slam dunk based on the outcomes of 9901/9902a. Regards, Dew

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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