charlatan, you painted an extremely conservative view that is almost certain to be exceeded. (and by your design, for risk management purposes)
when one ponders any of your variables being closer to projected realities, the numbers are very much higher, of course, and when you consider speculative and momentum numbers, plus the raw increase in oil prices, even "sour" would be sweeter than molasses rubbed on a sow in heat in arkansas.
"If at first you don't succeed,
skydiving is not for you"
