Friday, December 12, 2003 2:27:30 PM
Um, looks like your continuing trends are somewhat at odds with one another. Which trend will continue?
The weekly is the strongest by nature, so it will likely win out. So we are in a short term downtrend, but if you are investing long term, you should take comfort in the fact that on a weekly basis, the stock will 'likely' continue upwards. They keyword is 'likely'. TA tells you nothing about what is going to happen, just what is more likely in the absence of fundamental changes. TA can also point out where a reversal in momentum is likely, although that is more of a guessing game (a 60/40 kind of bet).
I agree analysis can be way overdone, but I don't see any harm in pointing out trends. Momentum is your friend. Fundamentals are always more important.
I always consider fundamentals first in making a trade, and look at momentum second. For instance, the momentum told me to sell everything when AMD crossed $15.50 last week, but I overruled this because I believe in the fundamentals, and my time horizon is longer than a couple of weeks (the weekly momentum is still up). I could have made an exit and reentry and skimmed a few dollars, but it wasn't worth the risk of the unlikely happening.
The weekly is the strongest by nature, so it will likely win out. So we are in a short term downtrend, but if you are investing long term, you should take comfort in the fact that on a weekly basis, the stock will 'likely' continue upwards. They keyword is 'likely'. TA tells you nothing about what is going to happen, just what is more likely in the absence of fundamental changes. TA can also point out where a reversal in momentum is likely, although that is more of a guessing game (a 60/40 kind of bet).
I agree analysis can be way overdone, but I don't see any harm in pointing out trends. Momentum is your friend. Fundamentals are always more important.
I always consider fundamentals first in making a trade, and look at momentum second. For instance, the momentum told me to sell everything when AMD crossed $15.50 last week, but I overruled this because I believe in the fundamentals, and my time horizon is longer than a couple of weeks (the weekly momentum is still up). I could have made an exit and reentry and skimmed a few dollars, but it wasn't worth the risk of the unlikely happening.
HailMary
Recent AMD News
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/15/2026 08:14:05 PM
- AMD to Report Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Financial Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/08/2026 08:15:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/08/2026 08:12:07 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/06/2026 08:14:57 PM
- Form ARS - Annual Report to Security Holders • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/27/2026 08:18:49 PM
- Form DEFA14A - Additional definitive proxy soliciting materials and Rule 14(a)(12) material • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/27/2026 08:16:34 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/27/2026 08:14:59 PM
- Intel shares rise after report of planned CPU price increases • IH Market News • 03/25/2026 03:24:25 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/18/2026 08:16:11 PM
- Advances in Domestic Heavy Rare Earth Minerals Production Essential for North American Defense Stockpiles • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/18/2026 01:00:00 PM
- Advances in Domestic Heavy Rare Earth Minerals Production Essential for North American Defense Stockpiles • InvestorsHub NewsWire • 03/18/2026 01:00:00 PM
- China Controls the Metal Underlying America's Trillion-Dollar Tech Economy - OilPrice.com Market Commentary • PR Newswire (US) • 03/17/2026 12:00:00 PM
- China Controls the Metal Underlying America's Trillion-Dollar Tech Economy - OilPrice.com Market Commentary • PR Newswire (Canada) • 03/17/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/16/2026 08:48:06 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/13/2026 08:07:18 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/12/2026 08:23:15 PM
- The Drone Revolution's Dependence on Chinese Rare Earth Processing - OilPrice.com Market Commentary • PR Newswire (Canada) • 03/11/2026 02:45:00 PM
- The Drone Revolution's Dependence on Chinese Rare Earth Processing - OilPrice.com Market Commentary • PR Newswire (US) • 03/11/2026 02:45:00 PM
- Adeia shares gain after signing semiconductor licensing deal with AMD • IH Market News • 03/09/2026 03:42:24 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/06/2026 09:13:28 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/04/2026 09:27:23 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/03/2026 09:15:06 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/03/2026 09:13:03 PM
- AMD unveils Ryzen AI 400 processors at MWC 2026, expanding push into AI-powered PCs • IH Market News • 03/02/2026 03:15:12 PM
