-- What are the economics of the PharmAthene relationship with GTC?
Based on the discussion from GTC’s 4Q06 CC (#msg-17607391), I think it’s reasonable to assume that the economics of the PharmAthene relationship are similar to those of GTC's Merrimack relationship, which I’ve estimated at a high-single-digit percentage of end-user product sales (#msg-18566595).
Protexia probably doesn’t have as much sales potential as Merrimack’s MM-093, so the absolute value of the PharmAthene relationship for GTC is probably less than the absolute value of the Merrimack relationship on a risk-adjusted basis. The PharmAthene relationship could nonetheless generate a consequential income stream for GTC, especially if the longshot program in Alzheimer’s disease were ever to pan out.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”