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Re: hedge_fun post# 1215

Thursday, 11/20/2025 6:32:05 PM

Thursday, November 20, 2025 6:32:05 PM

Post# of 1355
J Rome Powell has pushed so much money into the markets and the economy. He still has over $6.55 trillion on the Fed balance sheet sloshing around out there in the markets (far higher than anything prior to the pandemic). He has allowed the M2 money supply to go over $22.2 trillion, a record. He has allowed 57 of the most recent 57 months to record inflation beyond the 2.0% target (a perfectly awful, overly stimulative performance... hasn't even reacted to the data yet.) He LOWERED interest rates while the government is injecting $2.5 trillion per year of stimulus into the economy and markets. (Government takes in $5 trillion per year, yet spends $7.5 trillion per year).
Keeping money supply loose while the government injects $5 trillion into the economy during the past 16 years would be bad, but actually he has kept money supply at records while the government has been injecting *$29 TRILLION* into the ECONOMY and MARKETS during the past 16 years! This massive stimulus has become insufficient and at the same time unsustainable. Obama, Biden and Trump, while J Rome Powell built it up further, all have set this up nicely for a HUGE crash. The current government are in a tough spot. Stagflation is coming. They have already been stimulating the economy to the max and cannot stimulate the economy even faster because the 5-year inflation is are already >35%. The crashing stock prices will speed up here. Defaults are rising and will skyrocket; So much is overvalued. There is already too much cash chasing too few worthy investments.
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