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Monday, September 08, 2025 2:48:11 PM
Based on current analyst views (adjusted for the merger) and market forecasts, here's my reasoned expectation for post-merger RKT PPS:
Timeframe / Expected RKT PPS Range / Key Assumptions and Rationale
Short-Term (Post-Closure to End-2025) $18-22
Merger closes Q4 2025; initial synergies boost Q4 earnings, but integration costs and flat housing prices cap upside. Current analyst averages are ~$17-18, with some at $14-17.55 reflecting caution on rates staying ~6.4-6.7%.
Equivalent for original COOP holders: $198-242 (11× range).
Medium-Term (2026) $22-30
Rates ease to ~6% by year-end, sparking moderate refi and purchase growth; combined entity captures efficiencies, potentially adding 10-15% to EPS. Housing market stabilizes with flat-to-1% price growth, supporting servicing income. Upside if supply increases; downside if affordability worsens.
Equivalent for original COOP holders: $242-330.
Long-Term (2027 and Beyond) $30-45
Assuming stable growth (1.6-2% home prices, rates at 5.5-6.2%), the merged RKT could see 15-20% annual revenue growth from scale and tech (e.g., AI-driven originations). This doubles from current PPS, aligning with prior projection, but tempered by forecasts of muted overall market rebound. Higher end if rates hit low-5%; risks from recession or inventory glut.
Equivalent for original COOP holders: $330-495.
These estimates assume no major disruptions (e.g., economic downturn) and factor in the merger's value creation, but they're not guarantees—actual outcomes depend on execution, rate paths, and housing supply dynamics. Analysts are generally neutral/hold on RKT pre-merger, with targets lagging current prices, suggesting market skepticism until synergies prove out.
If the housing market grows faster than forecasted (e.g., due to policy changes boosting supply), RKT could exceed $45 by 2027.
THIS IS JUST MY PERSONAL OPINION AND NO INVESTMENT ADVICE!
Recent RKT News
- Rocket Mortgage, Nation’s #1 Mortgage Lender, Adopts VantageScore 4.0 Credit Score for Mortgages • Business Wire • 06/01/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Redfin Reports Investor Home Purchases Fall to Lowest Level Since 2020 • Business Wire • 05/28/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Higher Mortgage Rates Push Pending Home Sales Down for Second Straight Week • Business Wire • 05/28/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Redfin Reports 29% of U.S. Homebuyers Paid Cash in March—the Lowest Share For That Month Since 2020 • Business Wire • 05/27/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Redfin Reports the Income Needed to Afford a Home Declined For Seventh Straight Month in April • Business Wire • 05/26/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Luxury Home Prices Rise Amid Uptick in High-End Homebuying and Selling • Business Wire • 05/26/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Redfin Reports Home Purchase Cancellations Are No Longer on the Rise As Demand Ticks Up • Business Wire • 05/21/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Pending Home Sales Slip for First Time Since Early April as Mortgage Rates Climb • Business Wire • 05/21/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Rocket and Redfin Launch New Homebuyer Savings Program Worth Up to $20,000 (RKT) • IH Market News • 05/19/2026 02:41:17 PM
- Rocket and Redfin Boost Home Affordability With New Offer, Saving Buyers Up To $20,000 • PR Newswire (US) • 05/19/2026 01:15:00 PM
- Price Drops Are Becoming Slightly Less Common As Housing Market Stabilizes • Business Wire • 05/19/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Redfin Reports U.S. Home Prices Rose 0.2% in April • Business Wire • 05/19/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Redfin Launches Redfin Early Access, Helping Buyers Find Homes Earlier and Sellers Test the Market With More Confidence • Business Wire • 05/18/2026 04:00:00 PM
- Pending Home Sales Jump 10% From a Year Ago to Highest Level Since 2022 • Business Wire • 05/14/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Rocket Companies CEO Varun Krishna to Present at JP Morgan Global Technology, Media, and Communications Conference • PR Newswire (US) • 05/12/2026 08:26:00 PM
- Only Half of Service Members Are Aware VA Loans Require No Down Payment • PR Newswire (US) • 05/12/2026 01:00:00 PM
- America's Housing Market Favors Buyers—But Their Advantage Is Finally Starting to Shrink • Business Wire • 05/12/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Redfin Reports Home Prices Posted the Biggest Increase in Over a Year in April • Business Wire • 05/12/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Redfin Survey: U.S. Residents Prioritize Sunlight Over Home Size—and It Affects How Happy They Are at Home • Business Wire • 05/11/2026 12:05:00 PM
- Sunscore Launches on Redfin to Show Homebuyers How Much Sunlight a Home Gets • Business Wire • 05/11/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/07/2026 09:22:13 PM
- Rocket Companies Announces First Quarter 2026 Results • PR Newswire (US) • 05/07/2026 08:05:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/07/2026 08:04:28 PM
- Redfin Reports Pending Home Sales Hit Highest Level in Nearly 4 Years • Business Wire • 05/07/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Land O’Lakes, Florida is Redfin’s Hottest Neighborhood of 2026 • Business Wire • 05/06/2026 12:00:00 PM
