Just for the alternative under my related post above, I thought I should just briefly consider a little more accurately the what if, if first rfi received on July 1 instead of August 1, 2024. So unlike my related post above rough estimate for this scenario, regardless if the first RFI came in by July 1 or Aug 1 2024, we are now likely looking at first week of October for decision. That is, if MHRA keeps it at or slightly under 210 days (clock on) and if NWBO uses the max response times everytime. Just my opinion. (If I’m freakishly wrong about the time it takes MHRA to assess 2nd and third responses, the extreme minimum time could be as short as early to mid August)
This is, in my opinion, the most extreme length things can go without official delay by MHRA or
things going into an appeal which I do not foresee at all, but can happen in theory.
1. MHRA initial assessment only burned up 114 days of clock on, as opposed to 144.
2. NWBO assumed to use all 6 months (clock off) to about January 1.
3. MHRA assumed to burn 30 more days (clock on) and hand out second rfi, taking thing to about February 1. Now up to cumulative 144 days clock on.
4. NWBO assumed to burn 90 days (clock off)
Taking things to About May 1, 2025.
5. MHRA assumed to burn 30 more days (clock on) and hand out third rfi taking things to June 1. 174 cumulative clock on.
6. NWBO assumed to burn final 90 days (clock off) getting response in by September 1.
7. MHRA make final decision first week of October.