SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

[Nebuchadnezzar]

Moody’s downgrades United States credit rating

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/16/moodys-downgrades-united-states-credit-rating-on-increase-in-government-debt.html

guess where interest rates are heading now ;)

US dollar might fall thus pushing inflation higher as well plus whatever tariffs there are (so much nonsense surrounding tariffs at this point)

anyways, have you still not figured out that WALL STREET uses 10-15 stocks to manipulate the major indices and averages on a daily basis that HAVE ZERO to do with the economy.

AAPL MSFT GS META AMZN AVGO NVDA GOOGL IBM TSLA HD CAT JPM UNH and random stocks like UBER COST AMD PLTR SPOT SHOP

have u seen the charts of many of the other real companies tied directly to consumer habits?

ALL STAPLE stocks are dying.. CPB KHC CAG HRL TSN, oil stocks are doing okay

PFE PYPL XYZ SBUX NKE PEP TGT INTC cant get out of their own way

markets also used up a TON of fuel off the "bottom" at 4900-5000 to get to 5900 now which is way overbought and probably a SUCKER's rally which will probably be sold off during summer. remember, recessions cannot be prevented forever and the sooner it happens the better bc if the markets try to make a new all time high again, the next sell off will be BRUTAL especially if it masks a true recession, domestically or globally.

some elliot wave enthusiasts say there will be one more push to all time highs before major downtrend, some say we already topped, no matter how you look at it, one way or another, this SECULAR bull market will end and it will be UGLY, the SP 500 shaved off 1,100 points just on tariff fears, this market is way for fragile than many think and because the top 10-15 stocks are so inflated in terms of market cap, the market can fall very fast, it also can move up fast once it falls, but it cant move much higher from current levels, the math just doesnt add up at SP 500 over 6000 unless those 10-15 stocks can prove huge growth from here in the short term.

i am actually quite interested to see what happens if or once GOOGLE is broken up, if that happens, it will happen to others as well, it might be great news for other businesses, but bad news for STOCK MARKET because it will be harder to manipulate the averages if more of those companies get broken up.

if the ten year gets anywhere close to 5% again, then the US stock market, the FED, corporations and consumers have much greater challenges ahead.

if you want to buy the SP 500 north of 6000 or even 6500 or as you say 7000+ go ahead, I WILL SHORT IT with IMPUNITY, every short seller waiting on the sidelines will rejoice if the stock market makes new all time highs in 2025, the writing is on the wall, all things go in cycles, this cycle has been driven by insane government stimulus, spending, corporate buybacks and AI. i would say most of that is priced in, wouldn't you?

time will tell