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>>> Big Oil Urges Trump Not to Gut Biden’s Climate Law


The Wall Street Journal

by Collin Eaton, Benoît Morenne

10-6-24


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/big-oil-urges-trump-not-to-gut-biden-s-climate-law/ar-AA1rLuX7?cvid=54bdd711ae1748c1fe427f19366b02e2&ei=41


Oil companies are conveying an unlikely message to the GOP and its presidential candidate: Spare President Biden’s signature climate law. At least the parts that benefit the oil industry.

In discussions with former President Trump’s campaign and his allies in Congress, oil giants including Exxon Mobil, Phillips 66 and Occidental Petroleum have extolled the benefits of the Inflation Reduction Act. Many in the fossil-fuel industry opposed the law when it passed in 2022 but have come to love provisions that earmark billions of dollars for low-carbon energy projects they are betting on.

Some executives in the largely pro-Trump oil industry are worried the former president, if re-elected, would side with conservative lawmakers who want to gut the IRA. They fear losing tax credits vital for their investments in renewable fuel, carbon capture and hydrogen, costly technologies requiring U.S. support to survive their early years.

At a Houston fundraiser for Trump in May, Occidental CEO Vicki Hollub took her case directly to the candidate, saying tax credits propping up the company’s huge investments in technology to collect carbon directly from the air should be preserved, people familiar with the matter said. The company is building its first $1.3 billion direct-air capture plant in West Texas and aims to erect dozens more in the coming years.

Exxon has also told the Trump campaign it wants to preserve portions of the IRA. It and Chevron, the two largest U.S. oil companies, have promised to pump more than $30 billion combined into carbon capture, hydrogen, biofuels and other low-carbon technologies, virtually all of which rely on tax credits in the IRA to be viable.

Meanwhile, company officials at Phillips 66, a $58 billion U.S. oil refiner, have told members of Congress the IRA’s tax credits are important for its business, people familiar with the matter said. Instead of crude oil, the company’s renewable fuels are made from used cooking oil, vegetable oil, fats and the like, which qualify it for large tax credits.

“There are elements of the IRA that the general industry says would be bad to unwind,” Mark Lashier, CEO of Phillips 66, said in an interview last month. “Everybody is working out their contingency plans for either administration.”

Green politics

Trump has called Biden’s climate efforts the “Green New Scam” and last month promised to cut unspent IRA funds. With the backing of influential conservative think tanks, Republicans in Congress have tried to repeal the law and provisions in it dozens of times and are expected to push for cuts again next year during the legislature’s budget reconciliation.

Oil billionaires are some of Trump’s biggest backers, and the candidate has privately promised to deliver on many of the policies on their wish lists if elected.

Trump hasn’t fleshed out his plans for the climate law.

Energy policy has emerged as a key campaign issue. Trump has attacked Vice President Kamala Harris’s support for a fracking ban when she was a presidential candidate in 2019, a policy she has since backtracked on.

During the presidential debate in September, Harris touted her support for the IRA, which she said had kindled clean-energy investment but also spurred the record oil production levels reached during the Biden administration. If elected, she has promised to back investment in diverse energy sources.

Some oil lobbyists have told Trump’s campaign the industry’s IRA-backed projects will be a boon to U.S. jobs and manufacturing as major oil companies invest billions.

Karoline Leavitt, a spokeswoman for the Trump campaign, said Trump’s policies turned the U.S. into a net exporter of energy.

“He cut red tape and gave the industry more freedom to do what they do best—utilize the liquid gold under our feet to produce clean energy for America and the world,” she said.

Political strategists said Trump may try to rebrand the law, given the support for it among officials and companies in some Republican-leaning states, such as Oklahoma and South Carolina, who see it as a draw for new investments and jobs.

“If we win, we need to take a scalpel, not an ax, to the IRA,” said Sen. Kevin Cramer (R., N.D.). North Dakota is well-known for its booming oil fields in the Bakken Shale. Oil companies there aim to inject industrial carbon dioxide into the ground to recover more crude, which would also make them eligible for carbon-capture subsidies.

The industry’s support for the IRA only extends so far. Many oppose tax credits for renewable energy and purchasing electric vehicles, saying those incentives undermine competition with gas- and diesel-powered vehicles. Smaller frackers, which aren’t investing in low-carbon technologies, mostly dislike the entirety of the law.

In recent months, Biden’s administration has signaled it is rushing to fund clean-energy projects from a $400 billion lending program created by the IRA. A second Trump administration might slow-walk spending by federal agencies meant to support those projects, said Gordon Huddleston, president of investment firm and natural-gas producer Aethon Energy Management.

“The DOE would just slow down giving out money in a Trump administration,” he said.

A small, vocal faction of GOP budget hard-liners could make it difficult for Trump to preserve even parts of the IRA. The law would make for a tempting target to offset fiscal deficits as the party pushes to renew its 2017 tax cuts next year.

Big bets

The oil industry has fought Biden’s administration for years on restricting fracking, rules for drilling in the Gulf of Mexico and other environmental regulations. But companies that are investing in low-carbon projects stand to lose much if Biden’s climate law is repealed or watered down.

Occidental, one of America’s largest oil producers, is betting big on a largely unproven technology—at a large scale—to suck carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and store it underground.

The process is costly and Occidental has said benefits from federal subsidies of $180 per metric ton of CO2 captured that way and stored permanently will boost the endeavor. Its CEO has for years personally lobbied in Washington to increase the value of the credits.

Bolstered by the IRA, Phillips 66 has transformed a 128-year-old Rodeo, Calif., oil refinery into one that can pump 50,000 barrel-per-day of renewable diesel and aviation fuel.

But the economics of producing renewable fuels are challenging and some of the refiner’s competitors, including Chevron, BP and Shell, have scaled back on similar plans this year. Losing IRA credits would make the business even more difficult.

Oil-and-gas companies are stressing that the IRA is valuable to the country’s economy now in hopes of avoiding tougher conversations after the election, lobbyists said.

“It’s really striking the degree of commitment the industry has made to low-carbon businesses like carbon capture, biofuels and hydrogen,” said Daniel Yergin, the vice chairman of S&P Global and a veteran chronicler of energy trends.

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