Tornado Alley (PROG)

[fuagf]

Trump is a waste. Seems same old now - To put it in perspective, the polling analysis website 538, also known as Five Thirty Eight, gave Harris a 2.9-point advantage on Friday morning, smaller than the Guardian’s advantage but within range. The site translated that into Harris having a 58% chance of winning November’s election, against 42% for Trump.

The caveat is that these figures relate to national polls, while the election outcome is almost certain to be decided by who wins certain key swing states under America’s electoral college system.

Nevertheless, the fact that Harris’s national poll lead may be increasing – even by small margins – may turn out to be significant.

Polling suggests that Harris is likely to win the popular vote – Democratic candidates have done so in five out of the past six presidential elections in the 21st century, yet Republicans eked out a victory in two of those contests.

The first was in 2000, when George W Bush edged out Al Gore – despite losing the nationwide tally by around 540,000 votes – after a weeks-long court battle to decide who had won Florida, where thousands of ballots were disputed.

More recently, Trump triumphed in the electoral college in 2016 thanks to wafer-thin victory margins in the three blue-wall states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin despite gaining about 2.7m fewer votes than Hillary Clinton across the nation.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/28/harris-stretches-lead-over-trump

Kamala by 9 million am sticking to. I'm getting now Michigan key, eh.