No, there is no recent precedent for the Party in power doing well in the midterms. The House vote is a disaster for the GOP because it further entrenches the 'crazy'. If by chance they want to actually accomplish anything they will need Dem votes, or they can watch uncompromised bills die in the Senate.
People voted not so much for something but against something else
Voting for sanity IS voting for something. Why do you believe that the Bills passed under Biden are not a ratification of those Bills by voters? A vote for more of the same?