The 5% hit today is reasonable, IMO, despite the fact that I think the Milvexian program still has potential (see below).
In AF, it will be difficult for Milvexian monotherapy to show superiority to Eliquis (the likely phase-3 trial design), but I think Milvexian’s phase-3 chances will be somewhat better in the SSP and ACS indications, where Milvexian will presumably be tested as an addend to DAPT.
From your post, it sounds as though you’ve written off the Milvexian program in its entirety. My view is that Milvexian is unlikely to be an Eliquis-magnitude blockbuster, but it could yet be a material contributor.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.