AI
Monday, May 30, 2022 8:16:26 PM
Only get two districts here, still am assuming your claim MTG moved three times is probably fair enough. It wouldn't be a surprise as she would have trouble beating any decent competition. It's just, your rational for why she moved, according to this article, might be a bit off.
How Marjorie Taylor Greene Won, And Why Someone Like Her Can Win Again
By Kaleigh Rogers and Geoffrey Skelley
Published Mar. 3, 2021 .. Many links ..
[...]
...those comments were public while she was running in that primary. So, why weren’t they an issue then? Or, to put a finer point on it, how did Greene get elected in the first place?
[ Related: QAnon Isn’t Going To Take Over Congress In 2020. But It’s Found A Home In The GOP.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/qanon-isnt-going-to-take-over-congress-in-2020-but-its-found-a-home-in-the-gop/?cid=_inlinerelated ]
It wasn’t something special about her district. Instead, she got elected because of all the things that are special about American politics: the influence of money, polarization and kingmakers. And Greene wasn’t special in being able to harness those forces — the same could be done in many places around the country. A Marjorie Taylor Greene could be coming to a congressional district near you.
Greene didn’t plan to represent Georgia’s 14th District; she was busy trying to represent its 6th. Composed mostly of Atlanta’s northern suburbs, including Greene’s home in northern Fulton County, and offering a shot at unseating a Democrat, the 6th was the obvious choice for Greene. She hired a D.C. consulting firm, invested in a slick website and loaned herself $500,000 to get the campaign rolling.
But the 6th was shaping up to be a competitive race, both in the primary and the general. The incumbent, Democrat Lucy McBath, was running unopposed in her primary, allowing her to focus her time and money on the general (McBath ultimately won reelection). Meanwhile, the GOP race had attracted five other candidates, including Karen Handel, who previously held the seat before McBath beat her in 2018. Handel enjoyed the backing of prominent Republicans like then-Sens. David Perdue and Johnny Isakson and Gov. Brian Kemp. It was going to be a tough fight for Greene, a far-right political newcomer who had never sought elected office in her life.
Dustin Chambers / Getty Images
Then, on Dec. 5, 2019, a new door opened: Republican Rep. Tom Graves unexpectedly announced he would not seek reelection in Georgia’s 14th District, a rural area in the northwest corner of the state. Eight days later, Greene — encouraged, she said, by House Freedom Caucus members such as Reps. Jim Jordan and Andy Biggs — moved her campaign to the 14th and never looked back, as there’s no constitutional requirement that representatives must live within the borders of their districts — just in the state. She was the first (and for three weeks, the only) candidate in the Republican primary. By the time other candidates had trickled in over the coming months, they said Greene was the candidate to beat.
“She was always going to be ‘the frontrunner,’ she had been running for almost a year,” said Matthew Laughridge, a local business owner who also ran in the 14th District’s Republican primary.
Entering an empty race with a running start was helpful, and so was her bank account. Pouring cash into a campaign never guarantees a win .. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/money-and-elections-a-complicated-love-story/ — just ask Mike Bloomberg. But when you outraise your opponents and add in a heavy dollop of self-funding to outspend your main competition by nearly double, it can give you an edge, as it did with Greene. Studies show .. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2891145 .. that raising the most money is a far better predictor of winning a contested primary than “candidate quality” metrics, such as having previously held elected office. And we can see how that played out in 2020 Republican primaries that looked at least somewhat like Greene’s. In 49 seats that ranged from very red to potentially competitive and where at least four candidates ran with no GOP incumbent,1 about two-thirds of the winning nominees had the most financial support, including Greene.
--
Georgia’s 14th Congressional District is not such an outlier
that it elected a candidate no other district would.
--
By the end of the race, Greene’s campaign had pulled in a little over $3 million and spent $2.7 million, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Nearly a third of that money came from her — about $950,000 in total — putting her on par with some of the top congressional self-funders in the country. Greene and her husband purchased her parents’ commercial construction business in 2002, which “has since managed a quarter of a billion dollars of construction projects,” according to Greene’s congressional website.
But it wasn’t just her own money that fueled her campaign. She also collected $1.6 million from individual contributions — more than any of her opponents collected in total. Her closest competitor, Dr. John Cowan, a local neurosurgeon who faced Greene in a runoff, raised just under $1.5 million and spent the bulk of it. The remaining seven candidates in the primary raised roughly half of Greene’s coffers — $1.8 million — combined.
[ The GOP Might Still Be Trump’s Party. But That Doesn’t Mean There’s Room For Him.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gop-might-still-be-trumps-party-but-that-doesnt-mean-theres-room-for-him/?cid=_inlinerelated ]
Greene used that money to flood the district with ads, according to Seth Weathers, an Atlanta-area consultant who was Trump’s statewide director for Georgia in 2016. “Her message was ‘Stop socialism! Save America!’ and the fact that I can even say that to you is proof of the amount of messaging ad dollars that she spent on it,” said Weathers. “I am way outside of that district, but to get the largest radio market that does reach into that district, she bought up the Atlanta market for our largest talk-radio channel, so I heard it constantly.”
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-someone-like-marjorie-taylor-greene-could-win-again/
She really is extra rude and an ultra-rabid racist: Early career and activism
[...]
In February 2019, Greene visited the U.S. Capitol and congressional offices.[43] In a livestream video Greene posted on Facebook, she is seen outside Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's office, calling through the mail slot for Ocasio-Cortez to unlock the door and "face the American citizens that you serve", as well as telling her to "get rid of your diaper".[44] She also called Ocasio-Cortez's office a day care.[45] When visiting the offices of Representatives Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, Greene falsely claimed that they were not "official" representatives because they were sworn in to Congress on the Quran.[43] In the videos, Greene said that she wanted Omar and Tlaib to instead be sworn in on the Bible and accused them of supporting Islamic law.[46][47] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marjorie_Taylor_Greene#Early_career_and_activism
How Marjorie Taylor Greene Won, And Why Someone Like Her Can Win Again
By Kaleigh Rogers and Geoffrey Skelley
Published Mar. 3, 2021 .. Many links ..
[...]
...those comments were public while she was running in that primary. So, why weren’t they an issue then? Or, to put a finer point on it, how did Greene get elected in the first place?
[ Related: QAnon Isn’t Going To Take Over Congress In 2020. But It’s Found A Home In The GOP.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/qanon-isnt-going-to-take-over-congress-in-2020-but-its-found-a-home-in-the-gop/?cid=_inlinerelated ]
It wasn’t something special about her district. Instead, she got elected because of all the things that are special about American politics: the influence of money, polarization and kingmakers. And Greene wasn’t special in being able to harness those forces — the same could be done in many places around the country. A Marjorie Taylor Greene could be coming to a congressional district near you.
Greene didn’t plan to represent Georgia’s 14th District; she was busy trying to represent its 6th. Composed mostly of Atlanta’s northern suburbs, including Greene’s home in northern Fulton County, and offering a shot at unseating a Democrat, the 6th was the obvious choice for Greene. She hired a D.C. consulting firm, invested in a slick website and loaned herself $500,000 to get the campaign rolling.
But the 6th was shaping up to be a competitive race, both in the primary and the general. The incumbent, Democrat Lucy McBath, was running unopposed in her primary, allowing her to focus her time and money on the general (McBath ultimately won reelection). Meanwhile, the GOP race had attracted five other candidates, including Karen Handel, who previously held the seat before McBath beat her in 2018. Handel enjoyed the backing of prominent Republicans like then-Sens. David Perdue and Johnny Isakson and Gov. Brian Kemp. It was going to be a tough fight for Greene, a far-right political newcomer who had never sought elected office in her life.
Dustin Chambers / Getty Images
Then, on Dec. 5, 2019, a new door opened: Republican Rep. Tom Graves unexpectedly announced he would not seek reelection in Georgia’s 14th District, a rural area in the northwest corner of the state. Eight days later, Greene — encouraged, she said, by House Freedom Caucus members such as Reps. Jim Jordan and Andy Biggs — moved her campaign to the 14th and never looked back, as there’s no constitutional requirement that representatives must live within the borders of their districts — just in the state. She was the first (and for three weeks, the only) candidate in the Republican primary. By the time other candidates had trickled in over the coming months, they said Greene was the candidate to beat.
“She was always going to be ‘the frontrunner,’ she had been running for almost a year,” said Matthew Laughridge, a local business owner who also ran in the 14th District’s Republican primary.
Entering an empty race with a running start was helpful, and so was her bank account. Pouring cash into a campaign never guarantees a win .. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/money-and-elections-a-complicated-love-story/ — just ask Mike Bloomberg. But when you outraise your opponents and add in a heavy dollop of self-funding to outspend your main competition by nearly double, it can give you an edge, as it did with Greene. Studies show .. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2891145 .. that raising the most money is a far better predictor of winning a contested primary than “candidate quality” metrics, such as having previously held elected office. And we can see how that played out in 2020 Republican primaries that looked at least somewhat like Greene’s. In 49 seats that ranged from very red to potentially competitive and where at least four candidates ran with no GOP incumbent,1 about two-thirds of the winning nominees had the most financial support, including Greene.
--
Georgia’s 14th Congressional District is not such an outlier
that it elected a candidate no other district would.
--
By the end of the race, Greene’s campaign had pulled in a little over $3 million and spent $2.7 million, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Nearly a third of that money came from her — about $950,000 in total — putting her on par with some of the top congressional self-funders in the country. Greene and her husband purchased her parents’ commercial construction business in 2002, which “has since managed a quarter of a billion dollars of construction projects,” according to Greene’s congressional website.
But it wasn’t just her own money that fueled her campaign. She also collected $1.6 million from individual contributions — more than any of her opponents collected in total. Her closest competitor, Dr. John Cowan, a local neurosurgeon who faced Greene in a runoff, raised just under $1.5 million and spent the bulk of it. The remaining seven candidates in the primary raised roughly half of Greene’s coffers — $1.8 million — combined.
[ The GOP Might Still Be Trump’s Party. But That Doesn’t Mean There’s Room For Him.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gop-might-still-be-trumps-party-but-that-doesnt-mean-theres-room-for-him/?cid=_inlinerelated ]
Greene used that money to flood the district with ads, according to Seth Weathers, an Atlanta-area consultant who was Trump’s statewide director for Georgia in 2016. “Her message was ‘Stop socialism! Save America!’ and the fact that I can even say that to you is proof of the amount of messaging ad dollars that she spent on it,” said Weathers. “I am way outside of that district, but to get the largest radio market that does reach into that district, she bought up the Atlanta market for our largest talk-radio channel, so I heard it constantly.”
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-someone-like-marjorie-taylor-greene-could-win-again/
She really is extra rude and an ultra-rabid racist: Early career and activism
[...]
In February 2019, Greene visited the U.S. Capitol and congressional offices.[43] In a livestream video Greene posted on Facebook, she is seen outside Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's office, calling through the mail slot for Ocasio-Cortez to unlock the door and "face the American citizens that you serve", as well as telling her to "get rid of your diaper".[44] She also called Ocasio-Cortez's office a day care.[45] When visiting the offices of Representatives Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, Greene falsely claimed that they were not "official" representatives because they were sworn in to Congress on the Quran.[43] In the videos, Greene said that she wanted Omar and Tlaib to instead be sworn in on the Bible and accused them of supporting Islamic law.[46][47] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marjorie_Taylor_Greene#Early_career_and_activism
It was Plato who said, “He, O men, is the wisest, who like Socrates, knows that his wisdom is in truth worth nothing”
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