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Re: IL Padrino post# 420

Friday, 01/07/2022 1:21:21 PM

Friday, January 07, 2022 1:21:21 PM

Post# of 522
I think when one resorts to emotional responses and buys stock in a company using bottom up analysis it's always incorrect. All successful investors use top down analysis. They begin by analyzing economic forces, then market level, sector level, industry level and finally company level analysis.

You can always tell when someone is coin flipping and their analysis consists of hope and prayer. When it doesn't work out the way they hoped and prayed it would they blame the company when it's the investors fault for not doing the research and understanding risks.

I'm not adding here because inflation does not appear to be done churning through US$ denominated investments. That means the cost of a home loan will increase over the next few to several months and the Fed may clamp down harder than they should. They're always late to react and often over react. It could get worse before it gets better.

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