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Friday, January 07, 2022 9:13:37 AM
Not sure why this is compared to normal situations -- this is seriously unique - from day one of seizure by Bush and Paulson --- the entire FHFA (which CH 11 company has such a stand in our place AGENCY?)
Senior Paper is equity - so designed by GOV (which held and holds all the cards)
But clearly this SP is viewed by Treasury as DEBT ---- (it is not --- legally)
So have I seen cases where all debt is paid IN an 11
And - I do not see an 11 (never have - unlike many - like R in senate who had such wet dreams of killing off GSE - finally - since FDR created)
All of the above is IMO - IMO - 100% unrelated to WTS
WTS exist by GOV action that - as of 1-7-2021 is deemed legal
WTS were never any back up plan --- but extra bonus from day one . WHY? Answer - because GOV could get away with it and did it as a way to make money if things went well. So - IMO - IMO - these WTS were never some sort of protection for a negative event (they already owned 79%) but instead a throw in - if things went well !!! And they have IMO !!!
So - what I believe common need is for GOV to kill the SP for monies paid already (call it dividends galore - call it profit - call it fair and square pay back - I do not care --- more money left F and F then came in and GOV can declare victory and kill it - or GOV can demand it be paid in some fashion ----- right now that is how it sits - from my view. I want GOV to declare it paid off as VICTORY for all Americans
To help motivate GOV to do so -- GOV gets to exercise the WTS - and then sell associated shares to PUBLIC (dilute the monster hedges) - get 70-100B -- which they (GOV) can then brag is profit
For GOV to maximize the PPS it can get for the 4B shares or so it will sell for profit ------ reduce capital level needed (cut by 50%) and then announce there will be no SPO ------ none !! ---- Buyers of this 4B shares are buying 80% of company - (a fixed in cement number of shares is needed to make any sale ---- even if (YUK) Gov says it is selling these 4B shares and reserves the right for 3 years to issue out another say 3-4B shares if ... and if.... Market can then price at worst case
Senior Paper is equity - so designed by GOV (which held and holds all the cards)
But clearly this SP is viewed by Treasury as DEBT ---- (it is not --- legally)
So have I seen cases where all debt is paid IN an 11
And - I do not see an 11 (never have - unlike many - like R in senate who had such wet dreams of killing off GSE - finally - since FDR created)
All of the above is IMO - IMO - 100% unrelated to WTS
WTS exist by GOV action that - as of 1-7-2021 is deemed legal
WTS were never any back up plan --- but extra bonus from day one . WHY? Answer - because GOV could get away with it and did it as a way to make money if things went well. So - IMO - IMO - these WTS were never some sort of protection for a negative event (they already owned 79%) but instead a throw in - if things went well !!! And they have IMO !!!
So - what I believe common need is for GOV to kill the SP for monies paid already (call it dividends galore - call it profit - call it fair and square pay back - I do not care --- more money left F and F then came in and GOV can declare victory and kill it - or GOV can demand it be paid in some fashion ----- right now that is how it sits - from my view. I want GOV to declare it paid off as VICTORY for all Americans
To help motivate GOV to do so -- GOV gets to exercise the WTS - and then sell associated shares to PUBLIC (dilute the monster hedges) - get 70-100B -- which they (GOV) can then brag is profit
For GOV to maximize the PPS it can get for the 4B shares or so it will sell for profit ------ reduce capital level needed (cut by 50%) and then announce there will be no SPO ------ none !! ---- Buyers of this 4B shares are buying 80% of company - (a fixed in cement number of shares is needed to make any sale ---- even if (YUK) Gov says it is selling these 4B shares and reserves the right for 3 years to issue out another say 3-4B shares if ... and if.... Market can then price at worst case
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