Thursday, August 12, 2021 9:12:15 PM
Equity per latest 10Q $37.3 billion
Allowance for loan loss $7.1 billion
Unamortized G-Fees $27.5 billion
Fannie value based on Equity = $71.9 billion
Fannie 2020 earnings $11.8 billion
Conservative multiple 12
Fannie value based on earnings = $141.6 billion
Fannie total value $71.9 billion + $141.6 billion = 213.5 billion
Freddie Valuation
Equity per latest 10Q $22.4 billion
Allowance for loan loss $4.6 billion
Unamortized G-Fees $69.3 billion
Freddie value based on Equity = $96.3 billion
Freddie 2020 earnings $7.5 billion
Conservative multiple 12
Freddie value based on earnings = $90 billion
Freddie total value $96.3 billion + $90 billion = 186.3 billion
Bryndon Fisher is asking for a return of $26.9 billion after SPS is written down to 0. This would bring the combined equity to $213.5 billion + $186.3 billion + $26.9 billion = $426.7 billion
If David Fiderer is right and Fannie and Freddie did not actually need any bailout, it would be $213.5 billion + $186.3 + $109.5 = $509.3 billion.
For those new on this board, Patrick Quinn asked Mark Calabria to allow Fannie and Freddie to include the G Fees they have already received and not yet recongnized as profit, as assets on their balance sheets. From my investigation, this was the practice prior to conservatorship and early on in the conservatorship. The only reason it shouldn't be on the balance sheet is to prevent it from being swept to the Treasury.
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