Timelines provided by Humanigen's Tim Morris and/or Ken Trbovich. These guidelines encompass the complete timeline for the production of lenzilumab, from start to finish. So I am not mentioning the CDMO's who were contracted to provide fill/finish, as that time is already factored in.
So currently, we could have filled vials available from three of our CDMO's by the end of this month, in the best case scenario.
But, again in the best case scenario, we may not get filled vials from the other two CDMO's until Dec 2021, and then March 2022, the beginning of winter, and the end of winter. In between, we may see an additional batch from Catalent in Nov.
That's a real challenge for the production planner and the Sales Manager, if we have to go from the end of this month until November before we see additional production completion.
I have to think that the sophisticated demand model the company has developed is raising a red flag, and certainly indicating zero tolerance when it comes to any disruption of our production.
So I think we have two reasons for publicly stating our need for a timely EUA. As discussed, revenue requirements are one reason, since we planned on about $169M in R&D expense for the last 3 quarters (classified as R&D expense instead of inventory until EUA).
And in addition, and in the face of the uptick in developing Covid cases, we could be looking at several months before our finished goods can get replenished.
Avid should be coming up to speed next month. That would give us the opportunity to increase purchases from four CDMO's which could yield additional finished goods production by Jan 21, in the best case, if we have revenue coming in to pay for that production.