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Re: spartex post# 212

Tuesday, 01/09/2007 6:37:51 PM

Tuesday, January 09, 2007 6:37:51 PM

Post# of 3757
>>> JP sounds like he has a terrible cold, coughing and sneezing. Might have been better for someone else to make the presentation? <<<

I agree. I can hear the wise guys in the crowd now : " What JP needs is a good antiviral. "

From one of the slides , it looks like entecavir captured around 15-20% of the total nuke scrips by the end of the first year of sales. I'd be happy if Tyzeka shows a similar trajectory , but I haven't tried to figure out what the first-year sales figure would be for that scenario. Probably over $20 mill. , but maybe not that much more considering we're talking mostly U.S. sales until ex-U.S. ramps up.

To get to $20 mill. first-year sales we may be selling at a $50 or $60 mill. annual rate or more by the end of that first year (U.S.).