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Wednesday, November 25, 2020 12:14:46 PM
I am not arguing about needed or not
There were some GAAP accounting issues that caused heartburn
From there on - there was a lot of dispute
My sense is that it was not accounting - it was not a prospective intent to use FNMA as a garbage can - it was FEAR the CHINESE and RUSSSIANS -acting in simple self interest - would start dumping FNMA and FREDDIE paper and test the IMPLICIT GUARANTEE . If Prices fell - they would dump big time = causing a panic on top of a panic
So in came an explicit guarantee - in the form it took
Done - I do not want to argue yes or no to original sin
It happened
My point is that NOW - for FNMA to exit - there will need to be a form of GUARANTEE That is explicit
Such GUARANTEE at the moment is assumed to only come with conservatorship
I argue that it can be issued by TREASURY in return for F and F raising some capital (in a promise) without dividends for say 5 years (common or JPS) and then agreeing to revise corporate structure to GOV regulated private utility
Whatever happened - is past
Now the question is how can we exit
IMO we can not exit and issue Trillions of dollars of MBS paper without explicit Treasury guarantee - and that there are ways to secure such without conservatorship
And to the poster - a day or three ago - who said F and F had such explicit TREASURY Backed guarantee - I still wait proof
As I was taught years ago - GNMA paper had such guarantee and FNMA paper did not !!!
In normal times the implicit understanding stood well. In the panic and with fear of actions by Russia and China who owned a boatload and more of our paper --- we needed the explicit guarantee
inellegant way of giving it to us
let them find an elegant way to let us keep it and exit conservatorship that does nothing now
There were some GAAP accounting issues that caused heartburn
From there on - there was a lot of dispute
My sense is that it was not accounting - it was not a prospective intent to use FNMA as a garbage can - it was FEAR the CHINESE and RUSSSIANS -acting in simple self interest - would start dumping FNMA and FREDDIE paper and test the IMPLICIT GUARANTEE . If Prices fell - they would dump big time = causing a panic on top of a panic
So in came an explicit guarantee - in the form it took
Done - I do not want to argue yes or no to original sin
It happened
My point is that NOW - for FNMA to exit - there will need to be a form of GUARANTEE That is explicit
Such GUARANTEE at the moment is assumed to only come with conservatorship
I argue that it can be issued by TREASURY in return for F and F raising some capital (in a promise) without dividends for say 5 years (common or JPS) and then agreeing to revise corporate structure to GOV regulated private utility
Whatever happened - is past
Now the question is how can we exit
IMO we can not exit and issue Trillions of dollars of MBS paper without explicit Treasury guarantee - and that there are ways to secure such without conservatorship
And to the poster - a day or three ago - who said F and F had such explicit TREASURY Backed guarantee - I still wait proof
As I was taught years ago - GNMA paper had such guarantee and FNMA paper did not !!!
In normal times the implicit understanding stood well. In the panic and with fear of actions by Russia and China who owned a boatload and more of our paper --- we needed the explicit guarantee
inellegant way of giving it to us
let them find an elegant way to let us keep it and exit conservatorship that does nothing now
Recent FNMA News
- Fannie Mae Reports Net Income of $3.7 Billion for First Quarter 2026 • PR Newswire (US) • 04/29/2026 11:24:00 AM
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- Fannie Mae Announces Results of Tender Offer for Any and All of Certain CAS Notes • PR Newswire (US) • 03/02/2026 02:00:00 PM
- Fannie Mae Releases January 2026 Monthly Summary • PR Newswire (US) • 02/26/2026 09:05:00 PM
- Fannie Mae Announces Tender Offer for Any and All of Certain CAS Notes • PR Newswire (US) • 02/23/2026 02:00:00 PM
