That's right. Also note: Just saw an interview of one more involved than we ordinary folk. When asked why the ban on outdoor exercise when outside uncrowded situations are seen as relatively safe she said likely because it makes the shutdown more easily monitored. Which again goes to your point that they are trying to avoid a hotspot situation. And underlines the obvious that if can't be enforced adequately what's the point of the shutdown.
They are struggling to trace contacts in the 5th generation which is difficult and if they don't catch it quickly triple digit new cases per day is on the horizon.
It was Plato who said, “He, O men, is the wisest, who like Socrates, knows that his wisdom is in truth worth nothing”