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Saturday, May 23, 2020 11:24:32 PM
Analysis | What’s behind Trump’s China attacks?
"Trump and Modi are the mainstream faces of the global far right"
Stanly Johny
May 04, 2020 18:06 IST
Updated: May 04, 2020 18:16 IST
President Donald Trump. File | Photo Credit: AP
Amid the COVID-19 crisis, Mr. Trump has taken tensions between USA and China to new highs by endorsing the unproven lab theory and threatening China with punishments, which could have harsh economic consequences at a time when the global economy is in its deepest downturn in decades
President Donald Trump and his aides have stepped up attacks on China in recent weeks over the COVID-19 outbreak as the U.S. was struggling to contain the spread of the virus and the economic crisis it triggered.
Mr. Trump first called the novel coronavirus a “Chinese virus”, triggering angry responses from Beijing. Last month, he suggested the U.S. seek damages from China over the outbreak .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-may-seek-damages-from-china/article31457003.ece .. which began in Wuhan and spread around the world. Mr. Trump has already restricted use of Chinese electrical equipment in the U.S. grid system amid rising tensions. Some officials in the administration are prodding him to block a government pension fund from investing in Chinese companies aimed at upending capital flows into Asian giant, according to a New York Times report.
[ INSERT:Trump Pressures Federal Pension to Halt Planned Chinese Stock Purchases
By Reuters
May 12, 2020
https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2020/05/12/business/12reuters-usa-china-investment.html ]
Moreover, Mr. Trump and his officials have linked a virology lab in Wuhan to the virus, an allegation which the U.S. intelligence agencies are investigating.
Tensions between the two countries are not new. Ties between the two were not particularly good since Mr. Trump became President. This time, amid the pandemic crisis, Mr. Trump has taken tensions to new highs by endorsing the unproven lab theory .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/coronavirus-trump-says-evidence-ties-virus-to-wuhan-lab-threatens-new-tariffs-against-beijing/article31477764.ece .. and threatening China with punishments .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-warns-china-of-consequences-if-found-responsible-for-covid-19/article31380413.ece , which could have harsh economic consequences at a time when the global economy is in its deepest downturn in decades. Why is Mr. Trump doing this?
The new rival
Till early this year, the focus of Mr. Trump’s re-election team was the performance of the economy. The economy was growing, unemployment rate was low and the stock markets were rising. Mr. Trump had taken credit for the economic performance. But then the virus hit the U.S. Mr. Trump immediately had two problems in his hands. One, the U.S. is one of the hardest-hit countries by the outbreak. As of Monday, there were over 1.15 million COVID-19 infections in the U.S. and over 67,600 deaths. The Trump administration’s response to the crisis triggered widespread criticism in the U.S. that led to a slide in the President’s approval rating.
Two, the economy tanked amid the virus crisis. About 30 millions Americans have lost their jobs since mid-March. A Congressional Budget Office report forecasts that unemployment rate would average 14% this year — highest since the end of Second World War — and that the U.S. economy would shrink by 12% in the second quarter. In the first quarter, the economy shrank by 4.8%, the first contraction since 2014 and the deepest since the 2008 recession. Mr. Trump has effectively lost the bet on the economy in an election year. Faced with these challenges, he seems to have zeroed in on a new rival to mobilise his support base — China. "We are not happy with China," Mr. Trump told a White House briefing on April 28. "We are not happy with that whole situation because we believe it [the virus outbreak] could have been stopped at the source.”
Run against China
Late last month, right-leaning academic and columnist Walter Russell Mead wrote in The Wall Street Journal that Mr. Trump’s best re-election bet was to run against China. “With the economy in shambles and the pandemic ravaging the country, making the election a referendum on China is perhaps Mr. Trump’s only chance to extend his White House tenure past January 2021,” he wrote. China would soon become a political issue in the U.S. with both the Republican Party and President Trump turning Beijing into to an electoral issue.
A 57-page memo sent to campaign committees by the National Republican Senatorial Committee advised Republican candidates to address the pandemic by attacking China. It asked GOP leaders to tie Democrats to Beijing (Democrats are “soft on China”) and “push for sanctions on China for its role in spreading this pandemic”. Following the GOP memo, President Trump said on April 30 in an interview with Reuters that China “will do anything they can to have me lose this race”. He added that Beijing wanted his Democratic opponent Joe Biden to win the November election. The America First Action political committee that backs Mr. Trump has launched advertisements attacking “Beijing Biden”. They portray Mr. Biden as the representative of the establishment elite that is soft on China.
Great power rivalry
China has responded angrily to attacks from Mr. Trump and other top officials. "The H1N1 flu that broke out in the U.S. in 2009 [and] spread to 214 countries and regions, killing nearly 200,000 people; has anyone demanded the U.S. for compensation?" Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang asked last month. “AIDS was first discovered in the U.S. in the 1980s and spread to the world, causing great agony for the world, has anyone held the U.S. accountable?” The official Xinhua news agency released a one-minute-forty-six-second video on April 30 defending China’s handling of the pandemic and accusing the U.S. of ignoring its warnings.
With the election season hotting up in the U.S., the China-bashing in DC is expected to increase, which could further complicate the trade and economic ties between the world’s largest and second largest economies. What we are witnessing now could be a defining phase of the new great power rivalry.
https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/analysis-whats-behind-trumps-china-attacks/article31502183.ece
*
Analysis: Widening U.S.-China rift fuels Trump’s Modi outreach
Ananth Krishnan
February 25, 2020 21:17 IST
Updated: February 26, 2020 09:30 IST
US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrive for a joint news conference in New Delhi on February 25, 2020. | Photo Credit: Reuters
The new U.S. approach to China is bipartisan and likely here to
stay regardless of the outcome of November’s elections.
A tectonic shift in America’s relations with China .. https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/a-us-strategy-only-meant-to-isolate-china/article30906007.ece .. under Donald Trump’s presidency — one that Indian officials believe is here to stay and will outlast the current U.S. President — is providing a new impetus to defence, security, trade and technological cooperation between New Delhi and Washington in the region.
The U.S.-China trade and technology war .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-china-tiptoe-around-holes-in-new-trade-agreement/article30573219.ece .. is the clearest manifestation of the change, and the sense in Delhi is this widening rift is neither a Trump phenomenon nor transient. The new U.S. approach to China is bipartisan and likely here to stay regardless of the outcome of November’s elections. In fact, Trump is being seen as far from the most hawkish voice on China in Washington, given his well-known proclivity for wanting to “cut a deal”.
Shared concerns about China’s rise are not new .. https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/quiet-for-now-on-trade-deal-between-us-and-china/article30588863.ece , and have underpinned India’s relations with the United States .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/modi-is-a-tough-negotiator-says-trump/article30902681.ece going back to the 1950s. These concerns provided the backdrop for the landmark nuclear deal finalised during George W. Bush’s 2006 visit, as well as for the joint strategic vision unveiled during Barack Obama’s visit in 2015.
But “the dynamic has now changed in a fundamental way”, said former Indian Ambassador to China Ashok Kantha. In 2005, the U.S. and China were largely cooperative despite differences. Now, the U.S. is clearly looking at China as a strategic “competitor” and “revisionist power”, as a 2017 national security strategy put it.
This offered opportunities and challenges for India, which has carefully expanded ties with America while reluctant to upset China — a neighbour with which it shares an unresolved border. “Calibration becomes tougher as we are under greater pressure from both,” said Mr. Kantha. “My own view is the situation creates openings which we should take advantage of, rather than only think of balance.”
One such opening is the Quad Initiative with the U.S., Australia and Japan, which Mr. Trump said on Tuesday he and Prime Minister Modi were “revitalising” including through expanded cooperation .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/namaste-trump-uspresident-donald-trump-in-india-day-2-live-updates/article30910213.ece .. on maritime security “to ensure a free and open Indo-Pacific”.
On Tuesday, both countries inked a $2.6-billion defence deal for 24 MH-60 Seahawk helicopters .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/donald-trump-offers-india-a-range-of-high-end-military-hardware/article30906009.ece , another indicator of growing defence ties, which have seen a logistics exchange agreement .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/three-military-logistics-support-agreements-on-the-anvil/article28734687.ece .. in 2016 to provide mutual access to designated military facilities and a communications compatibility agreement .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-us-sign-landmark-comcasa-deal/article24881277.ece .. in 2018 to enable greater interoperability and sales of high-end technology.
“It’s no secret that Chinese submarines and warships have begun regular operations in the Indian Ocean over the past decade and this arguably provided some of the impetus behind greater joint efforts on maritime domain awareness, intelligence sharing, and naval exercises including the first-ever tri-service military exercise last December,” said Jeff Smith, South Asia scholar at the Heritage Foundation, stressing that “shared concerns about China are defensive in nature, rather than intended to produce an offensive, containment-style strategy”.
Mr. Kantha said India should do more with the Quad, starting with including Australia in the trilateral naval Exercise Malabar with the U.S. and Japan and working more closely in humanitarian and disaster relief and protecting sealines of communication. “Working on such initiatives does not mean we are looking to contain China and will in no way undermine India’s strategic autonomy,” he said, adding that India had no reason to be overly sensitive to China’s concerns, noting how China considered Indian sensitivities in its ties with Pakistan.
Mr. Trump on Tuesday highlighted regional connectivity and the Blue Dot Network .. https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/spotting-an-opportunity-in-changing-fundamentals/article30487623.ece .. pushed by the U.S., Australia and Japan to promote private sector-led, sustainable and ‘trustworthy’ options for infrastructure — a veiled criticism of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Mr. Modi said India agreed with the U.S. on the importance of sustainable and transparent financing in the development of connectivity infrastructure across the world.
Hurdles, however, remain. As a January 28 study by the Centre for New American Security in Washington put it, the U.S. effort in the region remained “inconsistent, uncoordinated and under-resourced”. Convergence may be growing, but walking the talk is still a challenge.
https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/analysis-widening-us-china-rift-fuels-trumps-modi-outreach/article30915553.ece
"Trump and Modi are the mainstream faces of the global far right"
Stanly Johny
May 04, 2020 18:06 IST
Updated: May 04, 2020 18:16 IST
President Donald Trump. File | Photo Credit: AP
Amid the COVID-19 crisis, Mr. Trump has taken tensions between USA and China to new highs by endorsing the unproven lab theory and threatening China with punishments, which could have harsh economic consequences at a time when the global economy is in its deepest downturn in decades
President Donald Trump and his aides have stepped up attacks on China in recent weeks over the COVID-19 outbreak as the U.S. was struggling to contain the spread of the virus and the economic crisis it triggered.
Mr. Trump first called the novel coronavirus a “Chinese virus”, triggering angry responses from Beijing. Last month, he suggested the U.S. seek damages from China over the outbreak .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-may-seek-damages-from-china/article31457003.ece .. which began in Wuhan and spread around the world. Mr. Trump has already restricted use of Chinese electrical equipment in the U.S. grid system amid rising tensions. Some officials in the administration are prodding him to block a government pension fund from investing in Chinese companies aimed at upending capital flows into Asian giant, according to a New York Times report.
[ INSERT:Trump Pressures Federal Pension to Halt Planned Chinese Stock Purchases
By Reuters
May 12, 2020
https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2020/05/12/business/12reuters-usa-china-investment.html ]
Moreover, Mr. Trump and his officials have linked a virology lab in Wuhan to the virus, an allegation which the U.S. intelligence agencies are investigating.
Tensions between the two countries are not new. Ties between the two were not particularly good since Mr. Trump became President. This time, amid the pandemic crisis, Mr. Trump has taken tensions to new highs by endorsing the unproven lab theory .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/coronavirus-trump-says-evidence-ties-virus-to-wuhan-lab-threatens-new-tariffs-against-beijing/article31477764.ece .. and threatening China with punishments .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-warns-china-of-consequences-if-found-responsible-for-covid-19/article31380413.ece , which could have harsh economic consequences at a time when the global economy is in its deepest downturn in decades. Why is Mr. Trump doing this?
The new rival
Till early this year, the focus of Mr. Trump’s re-election team was the performance of the economy. The economy was growing, unemployment rate was low and the stock markets were rising. Mr. Trump had taken credit for the economic performance. But then the virus hit the U.S. Mr. Trump immediately had two problems in his hands. One, the U.S. is one of the hardest-hit countries by the outbreak. As of Monday, there were over 1.15 million COVID-19 infections in the U.S. and over 67,600 deaths. The Trump administration’s response to the crisis triggered widespread criticism in the U.S. that led to a slide in the President’s approval rating.
Two, the economy tanked amid the virus crisis. About 30 millions Americans have lost their jobs since mid-March. A Congressional Budget Office report forecasts that unemployment rate would average 14% this year — highest since the end of Second World War — and that the U.S. economy would shrink by 12% in the second quarter. In the first quarter, the economy shrank by 4.8%, the first contraction since 2014 and the deepest since the 2008 recession. Mr. Trump has effectively lost the bet on the economy in an election year. Faced with these challenges, he seems to have zeroed in on a new rival to mobilise his support base — China. "We are not happy with China," Mr. Trump told a White House briefing on April 28. "We are not happy with that whole situation because we believe it [the virus outbreak] could have been stopped at the source.”
Run against China
Late last month, right-leaning academic and columnist Walter Russell Mead wrote in The Wall Street Journal that Mr. Trump’s best re-election bet was to run against China. “With the economy in shambles and the pandemic ravaging the country, making the election a referendum on China is perhaps Mr. Trump’s only chance to extend his White House tenure past January 2021,” he wrote. China would soon become a political issue in the U.S. with both the Republican Party and President Trump turning Beijing into to an electoral issue.
A 57-page memo sent to campaign committees by the National Republican Senatorial Committee advised Republican candidates to address the pandemic by attacking China. It asked GOP leaders to tie Democrats to Beijing (Democrats are “soft on China”) and “push for sanctions on China for its role in spreading this pandemic”. Following the GOP memo, President Trump said on April 30 in an interview with Reuters that China “will do anything they can to have me lose this race”. He added that Beijing wanted his Democratic opponent Joe Biden to win the November election. The America First Action political committee that backs Mr. Trump has launched advertisements attacking “Beijing Biden”. They portray Mr. Biden as the representative of the establishment elite that is soft on China.
Great power rivalry
China has responded angrily to attacks from Mr. Trump and other top officials. "The H1N1 flu that broke out in the U.S. in 2009 [and] spread to 214 countries and regions, killing nearly 200,000 people; has anyone demanded the U.S. for compensation?" Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang asked last month. “AIDS was first discovered in the U.S. in the 1980s and spread to the world, causing great agony for the world, has anyone held the U.S. accountable?” The official Xinhua news agency released a one-minute-forty-six-second video on April 30 defending China’s handling of the pandemic and accusing the U.S. of ignoring its warnings.
With the election season hotting up in the U.S., the China-bashing in DC is expected to increase, which could further complicate the trade and economic ties between the world’s largest and second largest economies. What we are witnessing now could be a defining phase of the new great power rivalry.
https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/analysis-whats-behind-trumps-china-attacks/article31502183.ece
*
Analysis: Widening U.S.-China rift fuels Trump’s Modi outreach
Ananth Krishnan
February 25, 2020 21:17 IST
Updated: February 26, 2020 09:30 IST
US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrive for a joint news conference in New Delhi on February 25, 2020. | Photo Credit: Reuters
The new U.S. approach to China is bipartisan and likely here to
stay regardless of the outcome of November’s elections.
A tectonic shift in America’s relations with China .. https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/a-us-strategy-only-meant-to-isolate-china/article30906007.ece .. under Donald Trump’s presidency — one that Indian officials believe is here to stay and will outlast the current U.S. President — is providing a new impetus to defence, security, trade and technological cooperation between New Delhi and Washington in the region.
The U.S.-China trade and technology war .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-china-tiptoe-around-holes-in-new-trade-agreement/article30573219.ece .. is the clearest manifestation of the change, and the sense in Delhi is this widening rift is neither a Trump phenomenon nor transient. The new U.S. approach to China is bipartisan and likely here to stay regardless of the outcome of November’s elections. In fact, Trump is being seen as far from the most hawkish voice on China in Washington, given his well-known proclivity for wanting to “cut a deal”.
Shared concerns about China’s rise are not new .. https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/quiet-for-now-on-trade-deal-between-us-and-china/article30588863.ece , and have underpinned India’s relations with the United States .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/modi-is-a-tough-negotiator-says-trump/article30902681.ece going back to the 1950s. These concerns provided the backdrop for the landmark nuclear deal finalised during George W. Bush’s 2006 visit, as well as for the joint strategic vision unveiled during Barack Obama’s visit in 2015.
But “the dynamic has now changed in a fundamental way”, said former Indian Ambassador to China Ashok Kantha. In 2005, the U.S. and China were largely cooperative despite differences. Now, the U.S. is clearly looking at China as a strategic “competitor” and “revisionist power”, as a 2017 national security strategy put it.
This offered opportunities and challenges for India, which has carefully expanded ties with America while reluctant to upset China — a neighbour with which it shares an unresolved border. “Calibration becomes tougher as we are under greater pressure from both,” said Mr. Kantha. “My own view is the situation creates openings which we should take advantage of, rather than only think of balance.”
One such opening is the Quad Initiative with the U.S., Australia and Japan, which Mr. Trump said on Tuesday he and Prime Minister Modi were “revitalising” including through expanded cooperation .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/namaste-trump-uspresident-donald-trump-in-india-day-2-live-updates/article30910213.ece .. on maritime security “to ensure a free and open Indo-Pacific”.
On Tuesday, both countries inked a $2.6-billion defence deal for 24 MH-60 Seahawk helicopters .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/donald-trump-offers-india-a-range-of-high-end-military-hardware/article30906009.ece , another indicator of growing defence ties, which have seen a logistics exchange agreement .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/three-military-logistics-support-agreements-on-the-anvil/article28734687.ece .. in 2016 to provide mutual access to designated military facilities and a communications compatibility agreement .. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-us-sign-landmark-comcasa-deal/article24881277.ece .. in 2018 to enable greater interoperability and sales of high-end technology.
“It’s no secret that Chinese submarines and warships have begun regular operations in the Indian Ocean over the past decade and this arguably provided some of the impetus behind greater joint efforts on maritime domain awareness, intelligence sharing, and naval exercises including the first-ever tri-service military exercise last December,” said Jeff Smith, South Asia scholar at the Heritage Foundation, stressing that “shared concerns about China are defensive in nature, rather than intended to produce an offensive, containment-style strategy”.
Mr. Kantha said India should do more with the Quad, starting with including Australia in the trilateral naval Exercise Malabar with the U.S. and Japan and working more closely in humanitarian and disaster relief and protecting sealines of communication. “Working on such initiatives does not mean we are looking to contain China and will in no way undermine India’s strategic autonomy,” he said, adding that India had no reason to be overly sensitive to China’s concerns, noting how China considered Indian sensitivities in its ties with Pakistan.
Mr. Trump on Tuesday highlighted regional connectivity and the Blue Dot Network .. https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/spotting-an-opportunity-in-changing-fundamentals/article30487623.ece .. pushed by the U.S., Australia and Japan to promote private sector-led, sustainable and ‘trustworthy’ options for infrastructure — a veiled criticism of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Mr. Modi said India agreed with the U.S. on the importance of sustainable and transparent financing in the development of connectivity infrastructure across the world.
Hurdles, however, remain. As a January 28 study by the Centre for New American Security in Washington put it, the U.S. effort in the region remained “inconsistent, uncoordinated and under-resourced”. Convergence may be growing, but walking the talk is still a challenge.
https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/analysis-widening-us-china-rift-fuels-trumps-modi-outreach/article30915553.ece
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