Quote: Besides Sweden, why Britain and Belgium in particular? They seem to me to have deaths still accelerating and I believe they have more severe "stay-at-home" rules in place. Not true. Deaths weren't accelerating at that date.The highest number of COVID19-related deaths in Belgium was April 12th... https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/c14a5cfc-cab7-4812-848c-0369173148ab/page/QTSKB Covid-19 Belgium Epidemiological Situation-Deaths Take into account these key-dates and you can figure out for yourself if there is a possible relation. History of Belgian Restrictions - Schools closures: 2020-03-14 - Workplaces closures: 2020-03-13, 2020-03-14 - Public spaces closures: 2020-03-10, 2020-03-14 - Lockdown: 2020-03-18