Wednesday, December 13, 2006 11:23:43 PM
I have a couple of questions.
1. If they are doing $1 million a month and making 15% profit then 10X profit would be valuation of $18 million / 600 million shares = $.03 current valuation. 10x seems like a little low if the cement deal is real.
2. If they are doing $1.2 million a month and making 15% profit then 10X profit would be valuation of $21.6 million / 600 million shares = $.036 current valuation. 10x seems like a little low if the cement deal is real.
3. If the cement deal is real and its only 5 million tons a year at $.90 income per ton and 50% expense, then $2.25 million falls to the bottom line and that alone increase valuation by $.0375 based on 10x.
4. I could take all the above and look at 20x earnings and then look at the growth in earnings due to the cement and other deals and then the multiple grows. This is typical spreadsheet BS and seemingly is part of the problem.
5. Lets deal with 1., 2. & 3. If one is true then we are undervalued. If 2 is true then we have about a 100% gain in the near future. If 3 and 1 or 2 is true then we are back to $.10+ again.
6. 1, 2 and 3 don't mean poop until the auditor's verify. I don't mean rumor auditors and I don't need PW or KPMG. Just legit auditor. If 1 or 2, plus 3 are legit and the auditor verifies, then we have a nice little company.
7. If 1 is correct and 3 is just a view of the future then I am glad I held on to my $50,000 investment, worth less now and look forward to quarterly financials in the future.
8. I was one that called and talked to Leslie when the troubles started. I wasn't buying a scam then and I still have shaky confidence now. Strange that I would risk $50k on a phone call with Leslie and other things, but gut is sometimes all you got? I guess I just paid Leslie a compliment?
I hope HOG, Air, Fish and everyone else will continue these efforts, I for one am very appreciative. Hopefully my summations above are conservative and accurate and the rest will take care of itself.
My sister lives in Kitchener, just outside of Toronto. I have been promising her I would come and visit, but didn't want to do it in the winter. Maybe its time to visit Canada?
Sunny
I have no clue what will happen in the future, whatever I posted may just be a total fantasy. DO NOT rely on anything I have stated here, I am just another MORON that knows absolutely nothing and if you base any decision on my ramblings you must be a MORON too. I will love you in the morning though!
Don''t rely on anything I say, I am not an attorney, insider or broker. I am a private investor with opinions. Never buy or sell based on anything I say. I sit on my deck 30 yards from the surf, sip adult beverages and hope I make smart decisions.
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