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Re: fuagf post# 340163

Wednesday, 03/11/2020 2:33:59 PM

Wednesday, March 11, 2020 2:33:59 PM

Post# of 574872
Early mortality rates for coronavirus are likely misleading, experts say

"How deadly is new coronavirus? It's still too early to tell"

Children and adults have done extremely well in terms of recovery, say doctors.

ByPriya Amin
March 9, 2020, 7:58 PM
7 min read

VIDEO - What is coronavirus? 1:33

It's possible that COVID-19 isn’t as fatal as most people think. And stockpiling hand sanitizer and masks could hurt people who are truly at risk: the elderly and those with weak immune systems.

“Kids and adults have done extremely well in terms of recovery so far,” said Dr. Jeremy Faust, an emergency medicine doctor at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston. “It’s so critical that we do not waste resources among the young and healthy and that we really focus on the areas where this might really get out of control.”

[...]

The recent quarantine aboard the Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan might provide a greater insight into the age-specific nature of COVID-19’s mortality rate, according to Faust.

“If you had an outbreak on a cruise ship, and there’s any sign that care was delayed or that people who really should’ve been protected weren’t, then you actually have reason to say ‘Oh, actually, whatever we found on the cruise ship, it’s actually that’s the worst case scenario because they didn’t get treatment on time.’”


A bus arrives near the Diamond Princess cruise ship, where dozens of passengers were tested positive for the novel coronavirus,
at Daikoku Pier Cruise Terminal in Yokohama, south of Tokyo, Japan, Feb. 16, 2020. Athit Perawongmetha/Reuters

Of the 705 passengers who tested positive for the virus on the Diamond Princess, six died -- which is a death rate of less than 1%. All of the patients who died onboard were more than 70 years old.

“In China, about 12% of cases were in the elderly," said Faust. "On the Diamond Princess, four times that many older people had the disease. So again, if you’re trying to figure out what this means for the entire population, it might even mean that the overall fatality rate would be lower."

https://abcnews.go.com/Health/early-mortality-rates-covid-19-misleading-experts/story?id=69477312

It was Plato who said, “He, O men, is the wisest, who like Socrates, knows that his wisdom is in truth worth nothing”

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