Wednesday, March 11, 2020 12:44:38 AM
“30 times more lethal” is a gross misrepresentation ... even if you took 3.4% as true. It is clearly not. The denominator (total cases) is way too low. Below is a correct understanding of the situation.
Experts differ on what the denominator should be but from some that I have heard said it should be 1% or less. So, you can divide by at least 3 on all the percentages below. Thus, for everyone under 40, it’s less lethal, 40-59 about the same as the flu and 60+ is where covid-19 is more lethal with increasing degree as the age increases.
Per the Surgeon General, the flu is more lethal than the covid-19 virus for children and young adults. That should be EOD for them.
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-compared-to-flu-mortality-rates-2020-3
The more lethal part is clearly 70+ years of age with already compromised health issues.
This should calm fears for the younger:
AGE DEATH RATE
all cases
80+ years old 14.8%
70-79 years old 8.0%
60-69 years old 3.6%
50-59 years old 1.3%
40-49 years old 0.4%
30-39 years old 0.2%
20-29 years old 0.2%
10-19 years old 0.2%
0-9 years old no fatalities
Experts differ on what the denominator should be but from some that I have heard said it should be 1% or less. So, you can divide by at least 3 on all the percentages below. Thus, for everyone under 40, it’s less lethal, 40-59 about the same as the flu and 60+ is where covid-19 is more lethal with increasing degree as the age increases.
Per the Surgeon General, the flu is more lethal than the covid-19 virus for children and young adults. That should be EOD for them.
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-compared-to-flu-mortality-rates-2020-3
The more lethal part is clearly 70+ years of age with already compromised health issues.
This should calm fears for the younger:
AGE DEATH RATE
all cases
80+ years old 14.8%
70-79 years old 8.0%
60-69 years old 3.6%
50-59 years old 1.3%
40-49 years old 0.4%
30-39 years old 0.2%
20-29 years old 0.2%
10-19 years old 0.2%
0-9 years old no fatalities
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