Again, I'm using the latest estimate from the head of the World Health Organization.
Seasonal flu: 0.1% mortality. Best current estimate of covid-19: 3.4%. I was using 30 as a factor, not 34, because I consider the number to be a rough approximation even under the best circumstances.
I'm not making up numbers, just citing what the professionals are stating. I also indicated that the denominator (how many people who caught covid-19 and either recovered or died) is uncertain at this point.
I rejected any notion of a 60% mortality rate. Pinning down the exact number at this moment is probably not possible. However, I'm simply citing numbers produced by professionals.
I most certainly did not indicate how many cases the US would have. Where the 120K comes from, I have no idea. Could be more could be less. Depends on a lot of other factors. However, 3.4% of 120,000 is 4,080 deaths, not 36K. No idea how you calculated that.
Market Data 
Markets 
