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Swing state poll shows Trump leading top Dems in Wisconsin but trailing in Pennsylvania, Michigan

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More positive news is, at this stage, polls indicate Sanders has as good a chance to beat Trump as any of the other Democrat candidates.

All three states were once reliably Democratic in presidential elections.

By CAITLIN OPRYSKO
02/20/2020 01:30 PM EST
Updated: 02/20/2020 02:07 PM EST

President Donald Trump remains within striking distance of each of the top Democratic candidates in three critical Rust Belt swing states that solidified his 2016 victory, according to a new poll out Thursday.

The Quinnipiac University poll .. https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 .. found Trump leading the top Democratic candidates in head-to-head match ups in Wisconsin by between 7 and 11 percentage points among registered voters. But the poll found closer races in Pennsylvania and Michigan, where Democrats held a slight edge in each.

All three states were once reliably Democratic in presidential elections, part of the so-called "blue wall" that crumbled in favor of Trump in 2016.

More - https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/20/trump-poll-wisconsin-pennsylvania-michigan-116409

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Who Can Beat Trump? Who Knows?

The Democratic candidates are all debating a singular issue. New polls offer insights, not answers.

By Giovanni Russonello
Feb. 20, 2020

[...]

But Republicans have won the Electoral College three times this century, even though they have won the popular vote only once. So what really matters is who can beat Mr. Trump in a handful of key swing states.

That’s why Quinnipiac University asked voters .. https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 .. in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — three states that Mr. Trump narrowly flipped in 2016, giving him an Electoral College win — to choose between the president and each of the six leading Democratic candidates.

The data from those polls suggests that Mr. Trump is in a very strong position to win Wisconsin, a heavily white state that was once solidly blue but has trended conservative over the past 10 years. None of the six leading Democratic candidates finished ahead of Mr. Trump there.

Conversely, in Michigan and Pennsylvania, he didn’t have a lead against any of them. Mr. Biden beat Mr. Trump by eight percentage points in Pennsylvania — where he was born — and by four points in Michigan. Mr. Sanders was up by five points against the president in Michigan, and by four points in Pennsylvania. Mr. Bloomberg led Mr. Trump by six points in Pennsylvania, and by five points in Michigan.

[...]

A University of North Florida poll .. https://www.unf.edu/uploadedFiles/aa/coas/porl/Feb20.2020.pdf .. released this week found meaningful differences between the candidates’ chances in that state. Mr. Bloomberg beat Mr. Trump by six points among registered Florida voters, thanks in part to the strength of his support among voters with college degrees, according to the poll. Mr. Buttigieg and Ms. Klobuchar, both hobbled by relatively weak support from black and Latino voters, each finished four points behind the president.

Mr. Sanders and Mr. Biden both ran neck-and-neck with Mr. Trump.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/20/us/politics/democrats-ask-who-can-beat-trump.html