The tug of war between record production and winter weather is currently being won by winter.
HFIR reported a new record for weekly US production at 95.7bcf
On the other hand winter temps are early in eastern US. The best free winter info comes from Dr Judah Cohen of MIT. He posts a blog every 8- 10 days where he discusses factors driving winter weather for the short and long term. Its pretty dense reading. Here's a link so his most recent blog: https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation/
The short version of his blog says there's a chance that cold weather could persist longer.