Dr Judah Cohen of MIT and AER updated his winter weather blog on Monday. He said Winter is still yet to be defined but early November cold shot looks to be a head fake. However several factors seem to point weakly to a winter with multiple cold shots in the east, where it matters most.
I am still bearish but just barely. All it takes is one cold forecast to turn NG around. I sold about 60% of my D at 151.