The Black Box

[Namiar]

I do not know if we are going up or down. Those two data points are hardly significant, statistically speaking.

My model has positioned me (full margin long) in a manner that I believe a likelihood of a big up date is in the near future. Monday, IMO, has a strong possibility of being up in excess of 2%.

But to say so with 100% confidence as your question suggests, how can I do that without a time machine.