On those Trump tweets re Obama and Iran, just thinking, while making porridge, they were more likely lies
for political purpose than his belief at the time. And as you suggest, i think, some projection by Trump.
Doubt even Trump then honestly thought Obama would consider war for re-election. Trump though, i agree, could.
It was Plato who said, “He, O men, is the wisest, who like Socrates, knows that his wisdom is in truth worth nothing”